Prediction Case File
SPYstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

IC Trades2026-03-15T22:39:50weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-1.48%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
662.29998779
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
691.54
Predicted objective
Invalidation
652.52
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
662.29
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
4.41%
Initial Invalidation Distance
1.48%
Risk / Reward
2.99
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-1.48%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
40%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible60.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable40.00%
Derived Quality60.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-03-15T22:39:50
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-04-02T04:00:00
Resolved At
2026-04-02T04:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-04-02T04:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
413.33h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

IC Trades
YouTube · @ICMakesTrades
Reliability
51.5
Success Rate
39.84%
Consistency
88.44
Risk Adjusted
-8.26
Avg Return
-0.83%
Avg Quality
3.62
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
f9DGHb6ycko
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on SoundHound AI (SOUN) and the SPY ETF, identifying potential support and resistance levels. For SOUN, the current price of $7.31 is near a support level, with a potential target of $9.00 and an invalidation point at $6.41. The stock has shown a bearish trend but is nearing a support zone where a bounce is anticipated. For SPY, the price is around $662.29, with a resistance at $691.54 and support at $652.52. The overall market sentiment for SPY is bearish, but a bounce from the support level is also considered a possibility. The speaker highlights the double bottom pattern formation on SOUN as a bullish indicator.

Original Caption

SOUN (SoundHound AI) stock is sitting at a key support price level that often leads to either a strong breakout or a sharp move down. The next move could happen sooner than most traders expect. In this analysis, we break down the key levels on SOUN, potential scenarios, and how broader market conditions could impact price in the coming days and weeks. Want to confidently read charts and take trades without guessing? I built The Traders Framework: Chart Reading, Structure & Decision-Making to teach you exactly how to analyze charts, manage risk properly, control emotions, and execute with confidence. Get Access Here: https://ianctrades.com Subscribe for weekly technical analysis and stock market breakdowns. #SOUN #soundhoundai #technicalanalysis ️ Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor. This content is for educational and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal