Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wicked Stocks2026-03-11T16:20:09dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-5.35%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
412.1499939
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
421.2
Predicted objective
Invalidation
390.12
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
404.63
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
2.2%
Initial Invalidation Distance
5.35%
Risk / Reward
0.41
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-5.35%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-03-11T16:20:09
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-03-13T04:00:00
Resolved At
2026-03-13T04:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-03-13T04:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
35.65h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wicked Stocks
YouTube · @wickedstocks8906
Reliability
46.94
Success Rate
33%
Consistency
89.81
Risk Adjusted
-4.3
Avg Return
-0.85%
Avg Quality
3.84
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
wjlemJlFIhE
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis on TSLA suggests a bearish outlook below $421.20, with a target of $326.57. A break above $431.45 could signal a bullish reversal towards $497.87. However, holding below $404.63 points to a short-term sell signal with a target of $390.12, and further downside to $374.36 is possible if the price breaks below this level.

Original Caption

#Tesla remains in a medium-term bearish setup unless key resistance levels are reclaimed. About four weeks earlier, #TSLA closed below the rising channel support near $421.20, triggering a 2–3 month sell signal with a projected downside target around $326.57. $404.63, a short-term channel resistance, is the first critical level that could determine the next move. If Tesla closes above $404.63, it would trigger a temporary 2–3 day buy signal, suggesting a swing trade toward $421.20, with a broader resistance zone extending up to $430.80–$431.45. However, this area is expected to contain buying pressure through April, meaning any rally into this zone is likely to stall and potentially reverse lower. If $TSLA stays below $404.63, the bias remains to the downside. In that case, the next important support is $390.12, corresponding to the 3/8 Fibonacci retracement level. For day traders, a move toward $390.12 could offer a short trade opportunity, followed by possible profit-taking or even a short-term bounce back toward $404.63. A daily close below $390.12 would strengthen the bearish case and trigger a 3–5 day sell signal, targeting ~$374.36. Until $TSLA breaks above the $421–$431 resistance band, we maintain a defensive, bearish stance, expecting rallies to fail and the broader trend to push the stock lower over the coming months. If you enjoyed this update, please like and share Watch the full #TSLA Trading Plan for Mar 11, 2026, in this short video

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal