Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wicked Stocks2025-08-12T13:36:49weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-5.5%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
339.36999512
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
304.33
Predicted objective
Invalidation
358.04
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
339.03
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
10.33%
Initial Invalidation Distance
5.5%
Risk / Reward
1.88
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-5.5%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-12T13:36:49
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-08T04:00:00
Resolved At
2025-09-08T04:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-08T04:00:00
Max High
339.36999512
Max High At
-
Min Low
339.36999512
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
638.38h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wicked Stocks
YouTube · @wickedstocks8906
Reliability
46.87
Success Rate
32.91%
Consistency
89.87
Risk Adjusted
-4.33
Avg Return
-0.85%
Avg Quality
3.84
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
LKx9z5jZdd0
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on TSLA, noting resistance between 351.39 and 358.04 on the weekly chart. A settlement above this range indicates longer-term upward continuation. Until then, it remains sellable resistance. An objective of 345.62 was tested. Selling at 345.62 with a stop above 358.04 risks 4% of the underlying value, deemed too high. A 10-50% allocation to the trade is proposed to reduce risk. Former channel top, 331.09, can contain intraday selling. Holding below 345.62 favors a move to the 320s over 3-5 days or down to the low 300s around 304.33 within 2-3 weeks. Closing above 346.64 Tuesday would invalidate the analysis.

Original Caption

Daily Tesla (TSLA) analysis with key levels, trends, and insights—can the bulls maintain momentum? 🟢Trade SPY and QQQ with a clear edge https://wickedstocks.com/expert-analysis/ In this video, we bring you technical stock analysis for Tesla. We hope to bring you directional clarity for Tesla stock based on the important price support and resistance levels for Tuesday August 12th, 2025. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Key Resources: 🟢 Downloadable PDF for Support & Resistance Levels: https://wickedstocks.com/2025/08/12/tesla-tsla-stock-price-overview-and-detailed-analysis-261/ 🟢 Free Guide: How to Use Our Trading Levels https://wickedstocks.com/resources/ 🟢Join 1,000+ traders getting our free weekly newsletter—exclusive stock picks and actionable trade tips inside - https://wickedstocks.com/trading-success/ 🟢Recent analysis on AMD, MU, LRCX & more https://wickedstocks.com/stocks-picks/ Disclaimer: Not financial advice, just our professional opinions. Channels: Website: https://wickedstocks.com/ Twitter: https://twitter.com/wickedstocks Questions? Drop a comment below! #tesla #tsla #nasdaq #stockanalysis #stocks #stockmarket #stockstobuy #teslastock #elonmusk #sp500 #spy #nasdaq #teslanews #teslastockupdate #tslastock #teslamodels #teslaprice #topstocks #stocktrading #daytrading #daytrade #stockstotrade #trend

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal