Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wicked Stocks2026-03-03T17:12:28dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-6.87%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
386.40499878
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
357.12
Predicted objective
Invalidation
412.97
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
418.86
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
7.58%
Initial Invalidation Distance
6.87%
Risk / Reward
1.1
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-6.87%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible60.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-03-03T17:12:28
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-03-11T04:00:00
Resolved At
2026-03-11T04:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-03-11T04:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
178.78h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wicked Stocks
YouTube · @wickedstocks8906
Reliability
46.94
Success Rate
33%
Consistency
89.81
Risk Adjusted
-4.3
Avg Return
-0.85%
Avg Quality
3.84
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
YfRWDGYNkmo
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

Tesla is currently in a bearish trend, trading within a descending channel. The immediate resistance is at $418.86 and support at $357.12. A close below $390.12 today would suggest a continued drop to the $357.12 support level within the next 3-5 weeks. Conversely, a close above $418.86 in the next day or two could signal a reversal to the upside, targeting $436.94. The overall objective remains bearish until longer-term channel support at $324.23 is reached.

Original Caption

The $412.97 to $418.86 area is acting as a ceiling. It combines an extreme channel top, weekly resistance, and a level that can contain buying pressure. As long as the price holds below that zone, selling pressure is expected to build in #TSLA. This band keeps lower targets active. $390.12 is the key near-term support level. It has contained multiple recent lows, but it’s not expected to hold long-term. If #Tesla closes below $390.12, $373.81 likely within days. Furthermore, momentum could accelerate toward $357.12 within 1–2 weeks. The descending channel bottom becomes the key magnet. The bigger downside target is $324.23. It remains the broader 2–3 month objective if resistance holds. However, this is not just a downside target — it’s also considered: a strong structural long setup, a weekly rising formation, and a level to potentially buy and hold through year-end. Everything shifts if the price closes above $418.86. $TSLA upside roadmap: – Weekly close above $418.86 → $436.94 likely within 3–5 days; – Sustained strength → Potential push toward $500; – Longer-term: If the structure develops properly, $535.93 becomes attainable later in the year. Right now, structure favors caution — but a confirmed breakout flips the entire script. If you enjoyed this update, please like and share Watch the full #TSLA Trading Plan for Mar 3, 2026, in this short video

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal