Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

KG TRADING - Crypto Elliott Waves2026-02-18T01:40:51intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-29.09%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
66,950.71
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
51,271.13
Predicted objective
Invalidation
86,425.76
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
67,095.37
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
23.42%
Initial Invalidation Distance
29.09%
Risk / Reward
0.81
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-29.09%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
60%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate100.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-02-18T01:40:51
First Checked
2026-05-19T01:51:13
Last Checked
2026-05-19T02:09:20
Resolved
2026-05-19T02:09:20
Resolved At
2026-05-19T02:09:20
Resolved Candle
2025-12-27T23:00:00
Max High
87,984
Max High At
2025-12-27T23:00:00
Min Low
62,510.28
Min Low At
2026-02-24T13:00:00
Time To Result
2,160.47h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

KG TRADING - Crypto Elliott Waves
YouTube · @KGTradingCrypto
Reliability
49.73
Success Rate
37.42%
Consistency
80.97
Risk Adjusted
-16.75
Avg Return
-3.11%
Avg Quality
3.54
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
TgdKusOJNJc
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on Bitcoin (BTC) using a 1-hour timeframe and an Elliott Wave analysis. The current price is around $67,095.37. The primary bearish scenario suggests a continuation of the downtrend, with wave 5 expected to complete around $51,271.13. The main invalidation level for this bearish outlook is set at $86,425.76, which signifies the invalidation of the entire bearish impulse. The market is currently in a wave 4 consolidation, which is expected to complete, leading to the final wave 5 move downwards. Alternative scenarios suggest the possibility of an ABC pattern or a regular flat correction, but the primary focus remains on the bearish continuation.

Original Caption

Join our Safe and Private Discord Community → Daily analysis requests, Elliott Wave education & Q&As. In this video, we apply Elliott Wave Theory to the crypto market, analyzing Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), SUI, Fetch.AI (FET) and multiple altcoins to identify potential price targets, trend reversals, and trading opportunities. Learn how to use the Wave Principle to improve crypto trading strategies, manage risk effectively, and spot high-probability trade setups in real time market conditions. This video is ideal for crypto traders, swing traders, day traders, and investors who want structured, professional, and data-driven market analysis. DISCORD MEMBERSHIPS Patreon Membership → https://www.patreon.com/c/KGTrading YouTube Membership → https://www.youtube.com/@KGTradingCrypto 🟢 GET KGT INDICATOR Free Version 1.0 → Monthly Discord Membership Free Version 2.0 → Lifetime Discord Membership You can send email me directly to → kg.trading.ew@gmail.com Follow on X → https://x.com/KGTradingCrypto Instagram → https://www.instagram.com/kg_trading_crypto_stocks/ 🟠 Stock Market Channel → https://www.youtube.com/@KGtradingStocks Refferal Links and Bonuses: MEXC: https://promote.mexc.com/b/KGTRADING 🟣 Disclaimer This video is for educational purposes only. We do not provide financial advice. All predictions are speculative. Do your own research and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. #ElliottWave #CryptoTrading #BitcoinAnalysis #Bitcoin #Altcoin #Eth #Ethereum #Solana #Sol #SUI #Render #Rndr #Injective #INJ #ZEC #ZCash #Zecash #BNB #Binance #Bach #BCH # Hyperliquid #Hype #Avalanche #AVAX #DOGE #Dogecoin #Bittensor #Tao #Litcoin #LTC #AAVE #SPX6900 # HBAR #Hedera #Virtuals Protocol #Link # XRP #ADA #Cardano

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal