Prediction Case File
ADAUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Ice Wallow Crypto2026-02-13T22:17:27intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-23.51%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
0.2731
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
0.2089
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
0.36
Predicted objective
Invalidation
0.21
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
0.272253
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
31.82%
Initial Invalidation Distance
23.11%
Risk / Reward
1.38
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-23.51%
closed
Current Price
0.2089
Live Score
43.51
Distance to Target Now
72.33%
Distance to Invalidation Now
-0.53%
Price Structure Valid
Yes
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible60.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-02-13T22:17:27
First Checked
2026-05-19T01:51:13
Last Checked
2026-06-03T01:32:16
Resolved
2026-06-03T01:32:16
Resolved At
2026-06-03T01:32:16
Resolved Candle
2026-06-02T23:00:00
Max High
0.3136
Max High At
2026-02-25T21:00:00
Min Low
0.2094
Min Low At
2026-06-02T23:00:00
Time To Result
2,619.23h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Ice Wallow Crypto
YouTube · @ice_wallow_crypto
Reliability
38.78
Success Rate
21.98%
Consistency
84.61
Risk Adjusted
-27.34
Avg Return
-8.18%
Avg Quality
3.39
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
tezwQ0IJwVA
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on potential bullish setups for ADAUSD and BTCUSD. For ADAUSD, a bounce is expected from the 0.22 cents support level, aiming for 0.36 cents. A break below 0.21 cents would invalidate the bullish outlook. For BTCUSD, a potential reversal is anticipated if it breaks above the 72,000 resistance, targeting 87,000, with invalidation below 71,500. The RSI on the weekly charts indicates oversold conditions for both assets, historically leading to upward movements.

Original Caption

At 2:40 I meant years, not whatever the word I said :)) Join our Membership: https://www.patreon.com/IceWallowCrypto/membership Hope you enjoyed this Cardano Price Prediction! Subscribe for more #crypto related content! This video is for entertainment purposes only. It is not financial advice and is not an endorsement of any provider, product, asset or service. Crypto is high risk, you can lose your money. Make sure you understand the risks involved in trading and investing by consulting a professional financial adviser, accountant or tax professional, and/or lawyer. Ice Wallow Crypto and employees or representatives will NEVER manage or offer to manage a customer or individual's binary options, options, stocks, cryptocurrencies, currencies, futures, forex, or any financial markets or securities account. If someone claiming to represent or be associated with Ice Wallow Crypto solicits you for money or offers to manage your trading account, do not provide any personal information and contact us immediately. I DO NOT HAVE A TELEGRAM OR WHATSAPP ACCOUNT - BEWARE OF SCAMMERS! #Cardano #ADA #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Solana #AVAX #Cryptocurrency #Bullrun #Bullcycle #blockchain #cryptonews #cryptomarket #cryptotrading #cardanopriceprediction #cardanoadatoday #cardano_ada

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal