Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wicked Stocks2026-02-12T04:12:08intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-3.81%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
428.1499939
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
456.31
Predicted objective
Invalidation
411.84
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
425.29
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
6.58%
Initial Invalidation Distance
3.81%
Risk / Reward
1.73
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-3.81%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
60%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate100.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-02-12T04:12:08
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-02-13T05:00:00
Resolved At
2026-02-13T05:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-02-13T05:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
24.78h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wicked Stocks
YouTube · @wickedstocks8906
Reliability
46.94
Success Rate
33%
Consistency
89.81
Risk Adjusted
-4.3
Avg Return
-0.85%
Avg Quality
3.84
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
-s9Yh9fisiw
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on Tesla (TSLA), identifying a descending channel. The current price is $425.29. A bullish signal is anticipated through next week and into March, with a potential buy signal occurring above $430.99. The trade would activate with a settlement today above $430.99. The target for this bullish scenario is $456.31, expected within 3-5 days. An invalidation level is set at $411.84. Alternatively, if price action remains below $430.99, it's considered a range of sellable resistance, and below this level, the price could reach the $320s within the next 3-4 weeks.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal