Prediction Case File
XAUUSDforexbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Mohammad Arafat2026-02-07T11:02:50dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-11.13%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
4,951.20019531
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
5,600
Predicted objective
Invalidation
4,400
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
4,964.3
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
13.1%
Initial Invalidation Distance
11.13%
Risk / Reward
1.18
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-11.13%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
60%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-02-07T11:02:50
First Checked
2026-05-19T02:09:20
Last Checked
2026-05-19T02:09:20
Resolved
2026-05-19T02:09:20
Resolved At
2026-05-19T02:09:20
Resolved Candle
2026-03-23T00:00:00
Max High
5,434.10009766
Max High At
2026-03-02T07:00:00
Min Low
4,322
Min Low At
2026-03-23T00:00:00
Time To Result
2,415.1h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Mohammad Arafat
YouTube · @mohammadarafatofficial
Reliability
64.26
Success Rate
58.21%
Consistency
96.37
Risk Adjusted
-0.76
Avg Return
0.27%
Avg Quality
3.52
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
mIJKUKpsmo8
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

Gold shows a flat to positive trend, with support at 4400 and resistance at 5600. Silver, on the other hand, exhibits more volatility and a positive trend, with key support at 64 and resistance levels at 95/100. A break below 64 in silver could signal significant weakness. The overall market sentiment for both metals suggests caution due to their current price action.

Original Caption

Weekly GOLD Analysis Starting 09 Feb to 13 Feb | Crude Oil & Silver Forecast | Next Week Market | Gold recovered from 4400 to 5090$ | Next Week Gold price Prediction and Levels on Technical chart | Silver recovered from 64$ to 78$ on Friday Signals performance https://www.mohdarafat.com/performance-2/ Contact helpline on whatsapp by clicking link below https://wa.me/message/PGRKCLSKWNMBP1 OR Whatsapp +91-7088230622 (Text Only) for Market commentary and paid signal details Official Whatsapp channel for data and news update https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VadcM3n7NoZuUqpsXU05 Telegram Official channel for live market updates https://t.me/mohammadarafatofficial X https://x.com/itsarafat Instagram https://www.instagram.com/mohammadarafat.official #xauusdanalysis #forexsignalsprovider #forexgoldanalysis #forexgoldupdate #goldforecast #goldprediction #goldsignals #xauusdsignals #weeklygoldanalysis #weeklysilverforecast #silverforecast #crudeoilprediction these videos are for educational purpose only . No trading action should be taken basis on my videos

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal
XAUUSD Bullish Signal by Mohammad Arafat | Tahlil Plus AI