Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wicked Stocks2026-02-06T05:06:43dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-3.12%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
397.1000061
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
314.87
Predicted objective
Invalidation
409.5
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
390.12
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
20.71%
Initial Invalidation Distance
3.12%
Risk / Reward
6.63
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-3.12%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
60%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-02-06T05:06:43
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-02-06T14:30:00
Resolved At
2026-02-06T14:30:00
Resolved Candle
2026-02-06T14:30:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
9.38h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wicked Stocks
YouTube · @wickedstocks8906
Reliability
46.83
Success Rate
32.86%
Consistency
89.79
Risk Adjusted
-4.4
Avg Return
-0.86%
Avg Quality
3.84
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
9jiq_AUU7zo
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

Tesla has broken below its upward channel on the daily chart, indicated by the close below 409.50. This suggests a bearish trend continuation. The immediate target is seen at 314.87 over the next two to three months. A significant support level is present at 380.17, which aligns with a 3/8 Fibonacci retracement. However, a break below this level could lead to further downside. The weekly chart shows 409.50 as a ceiling of resistance, reinforcing the bearish outlook.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal