Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

More Crypto Online2025-08-09T19:32:15dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-4.79%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
116,578.78
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
149,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
111,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
117,014
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
27.81%
Initial Invalidation Distance
4.79%
Risk / Reward
5.81
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-4.79%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-09T19:32:15
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-24T19:00:00
Resolved At
2025-08-24T19:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-24T19:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
359.45h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

More Crypto Online
YouTube · @morecryptoonline
Reliability
46.91
Success Rate
33.38%
Consistency
84.67
Risk Adjusted
-14.78
Avg Return
-4.51%
Avg Quality
3.54
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
5_6D71Oaows
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis starts on a daily timeframe for BTCUSDT, noting a current price of $117,000 and a possible rally towards $130,000-$136,000. The analyst mentions a previous target of $125,000 from 2023, now refined to a checkpoint near $133,000 or even $149,000. Pullbacks are deemed corrective with the potential for higher prices. Previous lows have not been broken, as is the swing high from May. The video reviews Bitcoin dominance suggesting a target of 56-57%. The short-term uptrend is viewed as a diagonal. Short-term, there is structural support and trend line. Break of the trend line might lead to a retest of 115400. A break above today's swing high of $117900 could signal a move towards $120,000.

Original Caption

Join the Morecryptoonline Crypto Service https://www.mcoglobal.com/subscriptions Voucher code: GOLDSUB BTC Price News Today - Technical Analysis and Elliott Wave Analysis and Price Prediction! In this video I talk about the Bitcoin BTC Cryptocurrency price and carry out a technical analysis. I also talk about my Bitcoin Elliott Wave count and discuss where the price could be going next. ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- MCO Global: https://www.mcoglobal.com/ ️ Join the FREE Newsletter: https://mcoglobal.com/newsletter/ Join the Morecryptoonline Crypto Service https://www.mcoglobal.com/subscriptions OR https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCngIhBkikUe6e7tZTjpKK7Q/join OR https://www.patreon.com/morecryptoonline Join the S&P500 & Stocks Service https://www.patreon.com/moretradingonline Subscribe for Free to More Trading Online: https://www.youtube.com/@moretradingonline Subscribe for Free to More Forex Online: https://www.youtube.com/@MoreForexOnline ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Social Media: WhatsApp News & Updates: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaZ0h5B3mFYBkWRWCY0K X / Twitter: https://x.com/Morecryptoonl Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/morecryptoonline_official/ Tradingview: https://www.tradingview.com/u/MCOGlobal/ Facebook: https://facebook.com/morecryptoonline Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/more-crypto-online/ Tiktok: https://www.tiktok.com/@more_crypto_online All MCO Global Links: https://linktr.ee/morecryptoonline ️ In case of questions just reach out to us: info@morecryptoonline.com ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Exchanges / Products: Bitget: Trade with Bitget: https://partner.bitget.com/bg/MoreCryptoOnline Receive a $15 bonus Trade on Bybit: Receive an up to $30,000 bonus (see terms on Bybit) https://partner.bybit.com/b/MCO TradingView: https://bit.ly/Crypto_Tradingview Trade on Coinbase: Receive $10 in BTC (see terms on website): https://bit.ly/MCOinbase Trade on Binance: Receive a 15% fee discount (lifetime) when using this link. https://accounts.binance.com/en/register?ref=XNWEZH08 Trade on Kucoin: Receive a 20% fee discount: https://www.kucoin.com/r/af/QBSSSL4T Trade with eToro: https://etoro.tw/3oFUKCk Trade with Trading212: Receive shares worth up to $100: https://bit.ly/Trading212MCO Protect your cryptocurrencies with Trezor: https://bit.ly/morecryptoonline Protect your cryptocurrencies with Ledger: https://shop.ledger.com/?r=0fb3c8be2e46 Stay safe with NordVPN: https://go.nordvpn.net/SH4s0

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal