Prediction Case File
APLDstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

IC Trades2026-02-03T06:45:28intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-5.83%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
34.79999924
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
39.35
Predicted objective
Invalidation
32.77
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
34.8
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
13.07%
Initial Invalidation Distance
5.83%
Risk / Reward
2.24
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-5.83%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
60%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate100.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-02-03T06:45:28
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-02-04T05:00:00
Resolved At
2026-02-04T05:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-02-04T05:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
22.23h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

IC Trades
YouTube · @ICMakesTrades
Reliability
51.5
Success Rate
39.84%
Consistency
88.44
Risk Adjusted
-8.26
Avg Return
-0.83%
Avg Quality
3.62
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
G1MHJgsOn9A
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on Applied Digital (APLD) and QQQ. For APLD, the stock has shown a strong bullish trend, forming a flag pattern and bouncing off support at $32.77. The price is currently testing resistance around $39.35, with potential for further upside. For QQQ, the ETF is consolidating around a key resistance level at $627.96 after a significant upward move. The price is showing a back-and-forth movement, indicating a potential struggle for further continuation. The overall market sentiment appears cautiously optimistic, with key support and resistance levels being closely watched.

Original Caption

APLD found a buyer dominated day today. The next move may be closer than most traders expect. In this video, we break down APLD (Applied Digital) stock using technical analysis. We also cover broader market conditions and how overall market trends could impact APLD in the coming days and weeks. If you’re watching APLD stock, this analysis helps you understand where price is likely headed before the move happens. Subscribe for weekly technical analysis and stock market breakdowns Comment your $APLD price predictions below and let me know which stocks you want covered next! #apld #stockmarketanalysis #technicalanalysis Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. I am not a financial advisor.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal