Prediction Case File
CRWVstockbullishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Chris Sain2025-08-09T02:30:06monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
7.97%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
129.66000366
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
140
Predicted objective
Invalidation
120
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
129.55
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
7.97%
Initial Invalidation Distance
7.45%
Risk / Reward
1.07
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
7.97%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-09T02:30:06
First Checked
2026-05-19T01:03:30
Last Checked
2026-05-19T01:03:30
Resolved
2026-05-19T01:03:30
Resolved At
2026-05-19T01:03:30
Resolved Candle
2025-08-11T13:30:00
Max High
141.5
Max High At
2025-08-11T13:30:00
Min Low
130.17999268
Min Low At
2025-08-11T13:30:00
Time To Result
6,790.55h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Chris Sain
YouTube · @ChrisSain1
Reliability
53.26
Success Rate
42.72%
Consistency
81.27
Risk Adjusted
-6.53
Avg Return
0.93%
Avg Quality
3.35
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
nQ_ZBKBKPqA
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video analyzes three stocks: CRCL, currently at $159.03, with a target of $165, and a stop loss at $150, projecting a bullish trend. CRWV is trading at $129.55, target at $140, analysis gets invalidated at $120. and also projects a bullish trend. AAPL at $229.35, with a new potential upside, targets 240, and a fail limit to 220 also being a bullish stock. The analyst is using technical analysis in all three stocks.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal