Prediction Case File
USOILstockbullishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Mohammad Arafat2026-01-26T10:17:04intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
3.77%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
60.70999908
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
63
Predicted objective
Invalidation
59.5
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
61.09
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
3.77%
Initial Invalidation Distance
1.99%
Risk / Reward
1.89
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
3.77%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-01-26T10:17:04
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-01-28T06:00:00
Resolved At
2026-01-28T06:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-01-28T06:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
43.7h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Mohammad Arafat
YouTube · @mohammadarafatofficial
Reliability
64.26
Success Rate
58.21%
Consistency
96.37
Risk Adjusted
-0.76
Avg Return
0.27%
Avg Quality
3.52
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
bVjCxsVmNl0
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

Gold has reached an all-time high of 5092.35, trading at 5063.91. The support is at 4980 and resistance at 5100, with a positive trend. Silver has also shown significant upside, reaching highs of 107434, currently trading at 107.509. Support is at 103, resistance at 110, and the trend is positive. US Oil is trading at 61.09, showing a positive trend with support at 59.50 and resistance at 63.

Original Caption

GOLD at 5100$ | Silver at 109$ | GOLD Analysis TODAY 26th January 2026 | Crude Oil Trend and Levels Weekly Gold Analysis https://youtu.be/jibMRA08n0o Signals performance https://www.mohdarafat.com/performance-2/ Contact helpline on whatsapp by clicking link below https://wa.me/message/PGRKCLSKWNMBP1 OR Whatsapp +91-7088230622 (Text Only) for Market commentary and paid signal details Official Whatsapp channel for data and news update https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VadcM3n7NoZuUqpsXU05 Telegram Official channel for live market updates https://t.me/mohammadarafatofficial X https://x.com/itsarafat Instagram https://www.instagram.com/mohammadarafat.official #xauusdanalysis #forexsignalsprovider #forexgoldanalysis #forexgoldupdate #goldforecast #goldprediction #goldsignals #xauusdsignals these videos are for educational purpose only . No trading action should be taken basis on my videos

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal