Prediction Case File
HIMSstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

The Patient Investor2025-11-24T22:44:25weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-14.04%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
37.81000137
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
53.7
Predicted objective
Invalidation
32.5
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
34.71
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
42.03%
Initial Invalidation Distance
14.04%
Risk / Reward
2.99
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-14.04%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
40%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable40.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-24T22:44:25
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-12-31T14:30:00
Resolved At
2025-12-31T14:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-12-31T14:30:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
879.75h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

The Patient Investor
YouTube · @thepatientinvestorr
Reliability
46.72
Success Rate
33.18%
Consistency
82.78
Risk Adjusted
-8.03
Avg Return
-1.16%
Avg Quality
3.5
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
1uzCI2Yd3X0
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis covers SOFI, HIMS, and NVDA. SOFI and HIMS are identified as undervalued growth stocks with significant upside potential, despite recent price drops and volatility. SOFI's strong member growth and transition to a fee-based model are highlighted, while HIMS's rapid expansion across various health sectors and its lean business model are seen as positive indicators. NVDA is noted for its recent performance with a forecast for continued bearish momentum, although the speaker does not provide specific entry or exit points for NVDA.

Original Caption

Friends! In this video, I'm going to discuss 2 growth stocks that im buying in this market. MY PORTFOLIO & DISCORD: https://www.patreon.com/patientinvestor MY TWITTER: https://twitter.com/patientinvestt FREE ACCESS To Fiscal.AI https://fiscal.ai/?via=Patient

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal