Prediction Case File
ORCLstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Felix & Friends (Goat Academy)2025-12-06T19:00:07intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-8.09%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
217.6000061
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
230
Predicted objective
Invalidation
200
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
216.7
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
5.7%
Initial Invalidation Distance
8.09%
Risk / Reward
0.7
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-8.09%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-12-06T19:00:07
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-12-11T14:30:00
Resolved At
2025-12-11T14:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-12-11T14:30:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
115.48h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Felix & Friends (Goat Academy)
YouTube · @FelixFriends
Reliability
67.24
Success Rate
62.29%
Consistency
85.06
Risk Adjusted
-2.07
Avg Return
3.95%
Avg Quality
3.63
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
kjTKJx0dp8s
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The market is showing mixed signals with some tech stocks like NVDA and GOOGL displaying bullish momentum. However, stocks like META are showing weakness. The overall sentiment suggests a cautious approach. The recent inflation data showing a slowdown could prompt the Fed to cut rates, which is generally good for high-risk tech stocks, but may not immediately boost consumer discretionary sectors. We are watching for key support and resistance levels to hold, and for confirmation of upward trends. The current price action in tech suggests consolidation rather than a strong trend, but the longer-term outlook remains bullish if these support levels hold. We're also observing gold and silver as potential inflation hedges, with SLV showing some promising upward movement.

Original Caption

Get Custom News Alerts for Your Stock Portfolio. 7 Day Free Trial at https://felixfriends.org/tradevision Meet Felix Prehn: I'm your host, Felix Prehn. My journey took me from being a novice investor to an investment banker, a corporate lawyer, and an entrepreneur. Investing was my key to early retirement at 40. My goal? To empower YOU to navigate the financial market with ease and transparency, free from the conventional financial system's noise. Let's embark on this journey to financial freedom together! ️This is from my lovely lawyers: The content in this video is for informational and educational purposes only. It does not constitute and should not be construed as financial or investment advice or an offer to purchase or sell securities. The content is not personalized or tailored to a specific person or group of persons, nor to their personal investment or financial needs. You should consult a financial adviser or other investment professional authorized to provide investment advice. Investing comes with risks, including the risk of loss. Presentations of trades made by Felix Prehn or Goat Academy Ltd or its personnel are not a guarantee that any investment decision made by a student will be successful. Past performance is not a guarantee of future performance. Some of the accounts we highlight from time to time are our top performing accounts and the results shown are not typical. Trades shown may be from simulated trading or live trading accounts. *CFTC RULE 4.41 – HYPOTHETICAL OR SIMULATED PERFORMANCE RESULTS HAVE CERTAIN LIMITATIONS. UNLIKE AN ACTUAL PERFORMANCE RECORD, SIMULATED RESULTS DO NOT REPRESENT ACTUAL TRADING. ALSO, SINCE THE TRADES HAVE NOT BEEN EXECUTED, THE RESULTS MAY HAVE UNDER-OR-OVER COMPENSATED FOR THE IMPACT, IF ANY, OF CERTAIN MARKET FACTORS, SUCH AS LACK OF LIQUIDITY. SIMULATED TRADING PROGRAMS IN GENERAL ARE ALSO SUBJECT TO THE FACT THAT THEY ARE DESIGNED WITH THE BENEFIT OF HINDSIGHT. NO REPRESENTATION IS BEING MADE THAT ANY ACCOUNT WILL OR IS LIKELY TO ACHIEVE PROFIT OR LOSSES SIMILAR TO THOSE SHOWN Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 02:05 NVIDIA Stock 05:23 Google Stock 08:48 Amazon Stock 10:32 Meta Stock 14:45 Tesla Stock 16:02 Oracle Stock 16:54 Palantir Stock 18:56 Advanced Micro Devices Stock 19:33 Robinhood Stock 20:13 SoFi Stock 23:06 Silver Stock 23:17 Gold Stock #felixprehn #nvidia #google

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal