Prediction Case File
HDstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

The Patient Investor2025-12-27T20:49:58unknowntechnical
Live Outcome
-14.24%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
349.82501221
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
400
Predicted objective
Invalidation
300
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
349.78
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
14.34%
Initial Invalidation Distance
14.24%
Risk / Reward
1.01
Timeframe
Unknown
Live Position
-14.24%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-12-27T20:49:58
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-05-13T04:00:00
Resolved At
2026-05-13T04:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-05-13T04:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
3,271.17h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

The Patient Investor
YouTube · @thepatientinvestorr
Reliability
46.72
Success Rate
33.18%
Consistency
82.78
Risk Adjusted
-8.03
Avg Return
-1.16%
Avg Quality
3.5
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
WmzMj15w2v0
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis highlights three stocks: VICI, FOUR, and HD. VICI is currently trading at a P/FFO of 11x, down from historical averages, with a dividend yield of 6.4%, considered sustainable. Its outlook for 2026 shows negative growth, but the market recovery case suggests potential for improvement. FOUR is considered undervalued by the speaker, with significant buyback programs and strong growth in earnings per share. HD's outlook for 2026 is negative, with concerns about mortgage rates and housing market performance, but its buyback program and dividend yield are noted as positives.

Original Caption

Friends! In this video, I'm going to do an analysis on Nike stock, Costco stock and PG stock. MY PORTFOLIO & DISCORD: https://www.patreon.com/patientinvestor MY TWITTER: https://twitter.com/patientinvestt FREE ACCESS To Fiscal.AI https://fiscal.ai/?via=Patient 0:00 Vici 6:05 Shift 4 8:51 Home Depot

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal