Prediction Case File
ETHUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Thecoinseer 2025-08-02T04:50:43intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-0.54%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
3,531.98
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
3,627
Predicted objective
Invalidation
3,513
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
3,531
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
2.69%
Initial Invalidation Distance
0.54%
Risk / Reward
5.01
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-0.54%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-02T04:50:43
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-02T06:00:00
Resolved At
2025-08-02T06:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-02T06:00:00
Max High
3,537.69
Max High At
-
Min Low
3,455
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1.15h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Thecoinseer
YouTube · @Thecoinseer
Reliability
67
Success Rate
73.33%
Consistency
99.71
Risk Adjusted
-0.29
Avg Return
0.11%
Avg Quality
3.63
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
x3XspzMue7M
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video presents a technical analysis of ETHUSD. The current price is approximately 3531. A bullish trend is predicted, with a target price of 3627. A stop-loss is set at 3513. The risk/reward ratio is 5.38. The entry point for the trade is at approximately 3531. The analysis is based on a 15-minute timeframe.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal