Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Crypto Jebb2026-01-13T21:11:33weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-8.39%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
94,419.56
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
100,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
86,500
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
93,346.05
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
5.91%
Initial Invalidation Distance
8.39%
Risk / Reward
0.7
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-8.39%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
40%
Actionable
40%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible60.00%
Accurate40.00%
Actionable40.00%
Derived Quality48.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2026-01-13T21:11:33
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-01-25T19:00:00
Resolved At
2026-01-25T19:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-01-25T19:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
285.8h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Crypto Jebb
YouTube · @CryptoJebb
Reliability
43.95
Success Rate
29.33%
Consistency
88.55
Risk Adjusted
-9
Avg Return
-2.5%
Avg Quality
3.42
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
ey8ZOMM5_8s
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on Bitcoin's potential upward trajectory, highlighting a bullish setup observed on the weekly chart. The key indicators, RSI and MACD, suggest a potential bullish continuation, with the RSI poised to break above the 14-period moving average and MACD indicating a bullish crossover. The price action has formed a cup and handle pattern along with an ascending triangle, signaling a potential breakout towards the $100,000 to $105,000 range. The invalidation point for this bullish scenario is set below the $86,500 support level. The analysis also notes the broader market sentiment influenced by geopolitical events such as the potential for conflict in Iran and the broader economic climate, which could impact Bitcoin's price discovery.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal