Prediction Case File
IWMstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

IC Trades2025-11-19T05:41:50intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-0.52%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
233.47999573
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
225
Predicted objective
Invalidation
234.7
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
233.4
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
3.63%
Initial Invalidation Distance
0.52%
Risk / Reward
6.95
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-0.52%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-19T05:41:50
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-11-19T14:30:00
Resolved At
2025-11-19T14:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-11-19T14:30:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
8.8h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

IC Trades
YouTube · @ICMakesTrades
Reliability
51.5
Success Rate
39.84%
Consistency
88.44
Risk Adjusted
-8.26
Avg Return
-0.83%
Avg Quality
3.62
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
4hmBwzvrgx0
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on the short-term price action of Open, noting a current state of indecision between buyers and sellers, marked by a doji-like candle formation. Previously, Open broke out of a descending flag, experienced a sharp drop to the $5.04 level, and quickly recovered to the $9.00 mark. The current short-term bullish outlook for Open anticipates a retest of the $8.80 and potentially $9.00 levels, provided it breaks out of its current descending channel. A critical support level for this bullish thesis is identified at $6.42; a break below this point would invalidate the upward momentum. Concurrently, the broader market, represented by IWM, has displayed a bearish dominance over the past three weeks. IWM is currently battling resistance at $234.70. If this resistance holds, the market is expected to continue its descent, potentially reaching support levels between $225 and $227. A break above the $234.70 resistance for IWM would signify a potential market correction and invalidate the bearish outlook. The analysis highlights that while Open shows short-term bullish potential, its trajectory remains dependent on the overall market's performance.

Original Caption

Using Technical Analysis, we analyzed Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) stock and predicted where price would go within the next few days to weeks. We also looked at the current state of the overall market and examined market trends. In depth Opendoor Technologies (OPEN) chart analysis with key levels, trends, structures, and insights. If you found value from this video, consider subscribing for more! Comment your $OPEN price predictions below and any other stocks that you would like me to cover! #openstock #stockmarketanalysis #technicalanalysis Disclaimer: This is not financial advice, I am not a financial advisor.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
No
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Ready
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
Not Listed
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal