Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wicked Stocks2025-11-20T03:05:43monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
-4.8%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
404.07000732
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
527.87
Predicted objective
Invalidation
384.68
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
404.07
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
30.64%
Initial Invalidation Distance
4.8%
Risk / Reward
6.38
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-4.8%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
100%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable100.00%
Derived Quality84.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-20T03:05:43
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-11-21T15:30:00
Resolved At
2025-11-21T15:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-11-21T15:30:00
Max High
404.07000732
Max High At
-
Min Low
404.07000732
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
36.4h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wicked Stocks
YouTube · @wickedstocks8906
Reliability
46.94
Success Rate
33%
Consistency
89.81
Risk Adjusted
-4.3
Avg Return
-0.85%
Avg Quality
3.84
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
cemJKjHCBQc
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis indicates a long-term bullish signal for Tesla, initiated by a settlement above 365.65 approximately two and a half months prior, targeting 527.87 within 5 to 8 months or by the end of Q1. The bullish momentum is sustained above the 388.57 rising channel bottom for the remainder of the year and into Q1. For short to medium-term trading (2-3 weeks), buying at 390.20 is suggested with a target of 459.43. A daily close above 415.83 could lead to 439.20 intraday, which is a 5/8 upside Fibonacci extreme. A weekly close above 459.43 would accelerate the move towards 527.87 within 3-5 weeks. On the downside, a daily close below 390.20 invalidates the immediate bullish outlook and signals a potential drop to 365.65. A critical long-term bearish trigger would be a weekly close below 388.57, specifically a 1% violation below this threshold at 384.68, which could usher in a 3-5 week sell-signal towards 308.81 (a rising 2/3 speed line and 5/8 Fibonacci), potentially leading to the low 200s in Q2 2026. However, the primary bullish outlook remains intact as long as weekly settlements are maintained above 388.57, keeping the 527.87 target in play over the next 3-5 months.

Original Caption

Daily Tesla (TSLA) analysis with key levels, trends, and insights—can the bulls maintain momentum? 🟢 Want To See Our 2 Favorite Stock Picks This Week? https://wickedstocks.com/stocks-picks/ In this video, we bring you technical stock analysis for Tesla. We hope to bring you directional clarity for Tesla stock based on the important price support and resistance levels for November 20th, 2025. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Key Resources: Downloadable PDF for Support & Resistance Levels: https://wickedstocks.com/2025/11/19/tesla-tsla-daily-analysis-11-20-25/ Free Guide: How to Use Our Trading Levels https://wickedstocks.com/resources/ Join 1,000+ traders getting our free weekly newsletter—exclusive stock picks and actionable trade tips inside - https://wickedstocks.com/trading-success/ Disclaimer: Not financial advice, just our professional opinions. Channels: Website: https://wickedstocks.com/ X: https://x.com/wickedstocks Questions? Drop a comment below! #tesla #tsla #stockscanner #stockanalysis #stocks #stockmarket #stockstobuy #teslastock #elonmusk #sp500 #spy #nasdaq #teslanews #teslastockupdate #tslastock #teslamodels #teslaprice #topstocks #stocktrading #daytrading #daytrade #stockstotrade #trend

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal