Prediction Case File
KASUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

More Crypto Online2025-12-22T00:20:33intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-27.33%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
0.046784
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
0.075
Predicted objective
Invalidation
0.034
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
0.047
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
60.31%
Initial Invalidation Distance
27.33%
Risk / Reward
2.21
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-27.33%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

100%
Principal
100%
Actionable
100%
Overall
Principal100.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable100.00%
Derived Quality96.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-12-22T00:20:33
First Checked
2026-05-19T01:38:19
Last Checked
2026-05-19T01:38:19
Resolved
2026-05-19T01:38:19
Resolved At
2026-05-19T01:38:19
Resolved Candle
2026-01-31T14:00:00
Max High
0.05313513
Max High At
2026-01-06T13:00:00
Min Low
0.03320598
Min Low At
2026-01-31T14:00:00
Time To Result
3,553.28h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

More Crypto Online
YouTube · @morecryptoonline
Reliability
46.91
Success Rate
33.38%
Consistency
84.67
Risk Adjusted
-14.78
Avg Return
-4.51%
Avg Quality
3.54
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
nqj_TK_6U-g
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on Kaspa (KASUSDT) across weekly and 4-hour timeframes, highlighting its market behavior since a notable correction began in July 2023. On the weekly chart, Kaspa has experienced a correction exceeding 80% from its peak. A potential B-wave bounce is anticipated from the current region, with initial resistance clustered between 0.087 and 0.106. However, no definitive signal for the correction's end has been identified on this larger scale. Transitioning to the 4-hour chart, a potential 1-2 Elliott Wave setup is observed, suggesting an impending third wave move upwards. The current price is approximately 0.047. A deep pullback, reacting to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level at 0.040554, indicates a critical support area. The analysis stipulates that the low established on December 18th, approximately 0.034, must hold to validate the bullish 1-2 setup. Failure to maintain this level would invalidate the current bullish outlook and necessitate a re-evaluation of the price structure. Immediate upside resistance is projected at the blue trendline, around 0.058, followed by a significant horizontal resistance at 0.075, which previously marked an area of substantial selling volume around October 10th. Kaspa currently displays some short-term momentum and could benefit from broader market upside, particularly if Bitcoin maintains a bullish trajectory.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal