Prediction Case File
HBARUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

AllinCrypto2025-12-05T05:01:50weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-35.03%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
0.13853
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
0.23
Predicted objective
Invalidation
0.09
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
0.145
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
66.03%
Initial Invalidation Distance
35.03%
Risk / Reward
1.88
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-35.03%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-12-05T05:01:50
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-01-31T00:00:00
Resolved At
2026-01-31T00:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-01-31T00:00:00
Max High
0.13946
Max High At
-
Min Low
0.13264
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1,362.97h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

AllinCrypto
YouTube · @realallincrypto
Reliability
41.02
Success Rate
25.29%
Consistency
84.53
Risk Adjusted
-25
Avg Return
-8.43%
Avg Quality
3.31
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
L19MbbmWVFk
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on Hedera Hashgraph (HBARUSDT) using a weekly timeframe. The presenter identifies an accumulative phase followed by a rally. After the rally, the price experienced a downtrend. The presenter compares the current HBARUSDT chart pattern to Boeing's chart in the 1990s, noting similar support and resistance levels. The presenter infers that HBARUSDT exhibits a structure akin to Boeing's chart, and infers a potential breakout and run.

Original Caption

Hedera Hashgraph mirrors Boeing's 90s pattern: accumulation, 900% rally, and now...support? Chart analysis suggests another monstrous run as its tech gets adopted. Watch for the breakout! #HederaHashgraph #HBAR #CryptoAnalysis #Blockchain #InvestmentStrategy #Crypto

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal