Prediction Case File
MRVLstockbullishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Rick Orford - Trading Stocks and Options2025-12-01T22:01:14monthlyfundamental
Live Outcome
33.9%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
91.11000061
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
122
Predicted objective
Invalidation
70
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
82
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
33.9%
Initial Invalidation Distance
23.17%
Risk / Reward
1.46
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
33.9%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-12-01T22:01:14
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-04-10T04:00:00
Resolved At
2026-04-10T04:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-04-10T04:00:00
Max High
93.85900116
Max High At
-
Min Low
91.11000061
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
3,101.97h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Rick Orford - Trading Stocks and Options
YouTube · @RickOrford
Reliability
46.28
Success Rate
32.44%
Consistency
71.28
Risk Adjusted
-10.51
Avg Return
0.68%
Avg Quality
3.57
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
dmZ9UjaUjHU
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video presents a fundamental analysis of Marvell Technology (MRVL). It references a consensus among 34 analysts who rate the stock as a 'moderate buy' with an average score of 4.35. The analysts' high target price for MRVL is $122. The video notes that the average analyst score has decreased over the last 2 months from a 'strong buy'. The analysis suggests around 45% upside.

Original Caption

Analysts favor Marvell: moderate buy with 45% upside potential. While consensus has softened slightly, a high target price reflects continued confidence in this mid-cap stock. #Marvell #Navitas #StockPicks #InvestmentStrategy

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal