Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

On-Chain Mind2025-11-28T22:00:51dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-4.28%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
90,891.83
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
93,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
87,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
91,734
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
2.32%
Initial Invalidation Distance
4.28%
Risk / Reward
0.54
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-4.28%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality84.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-28T22:00:51
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-12-01T00:00:00
Resolved At
2025-12-01T00:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-12-01T00:00:00
Max High
91,195.68
Max High At
-
Min Low
90,155.47
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
49.98h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

On-Chain Mind
YouTube · @OnChainMind
Reliability
24.96
Success Rate
10.53%
Consistency
90
Risk Adjusted
-22.77
Avg Return
-13.3%
Avg Quality
3.79
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
_2jZYEE1s6M
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis explores Bitcoin's recent rebound from lows, using volatility envelopes, impact volume, and hidden order flow divergence. The volatility envelope indicates a significant expansion, suggesting a possible price stabilization phase. Impact volume analysis identifies high-quality buying volume, signaling potential upward pressure. Hidden order flow divergence further suggests a shift towards buying, even with limited energy post-reversal. The primary resistance point sits at around $93,000, which must be cleared to confirm the trend. The volatility envelope lies at $89k-$106k, but must break $93k to confirm buying volume.

Original Caption

Bitcoin has bounced strongly off its recent lows, but is this relief rally here to stay? In this video, we dive deep into unique volume metrics, hidden order flow, and trading channel dynamics to uncover whether buyers are genuinely taking control or if selling pressure is still lurking beneath the surface. Subscribe here for my free on-chain analysis newsletter and my custom indicator suite: http://onchainmind.substack.com #Bitcoin #OnChainAnalysis #BTC #VolumeAnalysis #BitcoinAnalysis

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal