Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobearishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

KG TRADING - Crypto Elliott Waves2025-11-25T14:12:20dailytechnical
Live Outcome
21.82%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
86,874.64
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
67,922.2
Predicted objective
Invalidation
99,150.33
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
87,374.75
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
21.82%
Initial Invalidation Distance
14.13%
Risk / Reward
1.54
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
21.82%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-25T14:12:20
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-02-05T00:00:00
Resolved At
2026-02-05T00:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-02-05T00:00:00
Max High
88,155.65
Max High At
-
Min Low
86,182.49
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1,713.78h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

KG TRADING - Crypto Elliott Waves
YouTube · @KGTradingCrypto
Reliability
49.73
Success Rate
37.42%
Consistency
80.97
Risk Adjusted
-16.75
Avg Return
-3.11%
Avg Quality
3.54
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
9QWtW3aVLtY
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis predicts a bearish trend for Bitcoin, with a target price of $67,922.20, based on Elliott Wave analysis indicating a completion of a five-wave impulse to the upside. The failure point is set at $99,150.33 to invalidate the bearish scenario. The analysis outlines two potential scenarios: fast wave C for expanding flat, fast decline and longer term expanding flat ABC, and considers potential for ending diagonal formation. The direction of the market is confirmed to be downward, after an exit from the base channel was noticed. Regarding possible higher prices from the current price level, it is expected that the prices might hit the $98670.53 mark.

Original Caption

Join our Safe and Private Discord Community → Daily analysis requests, Elliott Wave education & Q&As. In this video, we apply Elliott Wave analysis to the crypto market. Learn how to identify trading opportunities, manage risk, and apply the Wave Principle in real time. Perfect for traders who want structured and professional market insights. DISCORD MEMBERSHIPS Patreon Membership → https://www.patreon.com/c/KGTrading YouTube Membership → https://www.youtube.com/@KGTradingCrypto 🟢 GET KGT INDICATOR Free Version 1.0 → Monthly Discord Membership Free Version 2.0 → Lifetime Discord Membership You can send email me directly to → kg.trading.ew@gmail.com Follow on X → https://x.com/KGTradingCrypto Instagram → https://www.instagram.com/kg_trading_elliott_wave/ 🟠 Stock Market Channel → https://www.youtube.com/@KGtradingStocks 🟣 Disclaimer This video is for educational purposes only. We do not provide financial advice. All predictions are speculative. Do your own research and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. #ElliottWave #CryptoTrading #bitcoinanalysis 00:00 WHY STILL BEARISH? 1:20 EXP.FLAT WAVE C IMPULSE 3:25 EXP.FLAT WAVE C ENDING DIAGONAL 4:50 ULTIMATE BULLISH ?! 7:00 MICRO LEVELS 10:40 KGT INDICATOR | INTERESTING SIGNALS!

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal