Prediction Case File
PLTRstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Tom Nash2025-11-16T10:46:54long_termfundamental
Live Outcome
-8.08%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
174.05639648
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
233
Predicted objective
Invalidation
160
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
174.01
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
33.86%
Initial Invalidation Distance
8.08%
Risk / Reward
4.19
Timeframe
Long Term
Live Position
-8.08%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-16T10:46:54
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-11-20T16:30:00
Resolved At
2025-11-20T16:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-11-20T16:30:00
Max High
174.23989868
Max High At
-
Min Low
167.67999268
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
101.72h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Tom Nash
YouTube · @TomNashTV
Reliability
40.6
Success Rate
27.08%
Consistency
78.05
Risk Adjusted
-13.1
Avg Return
-1.95%
Avg Quality
3.86
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
cqbDJk6bdfg
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video promotes tactical investing with key strategies, including understanding emotional investing being 90% of the game, taking a measured approach to avoid rash decisions. The video shows how to trim winnings and protect profits, specifically referring to Palantir and Nvidia scoring 90 out of 100 (high quality company) with PE ratios higher than 30 and utilizing strategic DCA (Tom Nash's 20% Rule : RCA 20% Below the 52 week High with Average and 20% Below Average.). He references the 50% Dollar Cost Average rule, with 500 dollars invested to the market being normal. He suggests increasing it to 1500 with the rest set a site if the markets drop 20%. With reverse tactic of reducing the deployment to 250 if prices raise 20% over a 30 day window. A trading app and no checking of the financial news media is recommended. He recommends joining his academy. He also gives discount code BF35.

Original Caption

Join ROIC Academy - https://www.patreon.com/tomnash Try Stock MVP here: https://www.stock-mvp.com ------------------------------------------ Nothing in this video constitutes tax, legal, financial and/or investment advice, nor does any information in this video constitute an invitation and/or solicitation to invest in a particular security. This video merely expresses the author’s opinion and should be viewed as such. Before proceeding with any investments, you should do your own research and seek advice from an independent licensed professional. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- The author of this video does NOT accept liability for any investment decisions, as this video is provided only for educational and entertainment purposes. Although the author has endeavored for the information in this video to be correct and accurate, he does NOT assume liability nor does he guarantee that the data will be updated, correct and/or accurate at all times.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal