Prediction Case File
AMZNstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Click Capital2025-08-02T00:14:05dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-3.1%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
214.80999756
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
170
Predicted objective
Invalidation
221.47
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
214.75
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
20.86%
Initial Invalidation Distance
3.1%
Risk / Reward
6.73
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-3.1%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-08-02T00:14:05
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-08-06T17:30:00
Resolved At
2025-08-06T17:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-08-06T17:30:00
Max High
221.92500305
Max High At
-
Min Low
211.41999817
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
113.25h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Click Capital
YouTube · @Click-Capital
Reliability
53.88
Success Rate
43.34%
Consistency
90.1
Risk Adjusted
-3.25
Avg Return
0.88%
Avg Quality
3.54
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
ug8OBEpLUs0
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video provides a daily market review, highlighting significant market events, such as a huge miss on the jobs report leading to a risk-off move across growth sectors. It references that the fear and greed index is snapping back to neutral. Investor sentiment showing bullish bias. News includes Trump firing Bureau of Labor Statistics commissioner. The presenter mentions Treasury yields tumbling. Fed governor resigning. The analysis covers the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), 2 year Treasury Yield, US Dollar index, Gold Futures, I shares Ethereum Trust. Amazon's performance shows earnings beating expectations, leading to an 8% sell-off in the market, Meta. Mention of some weakness for Big Tech firms.. A potential recessionary environment is touched upon in terms of declining economic data. A warning for a potential comparison to 1987 market conditions.

Original Caption

Upgrade Your Charts With Our 30 Custom TradingView Indicators https://www.clickcapital.io/tradingview-indicators Follow Our Daily Options Trades In Real-time Inside Our Private Chat Room https://www.clickcapital.io/mmk Copy Our “Themes” Watchlist of Hot Stocks: https://www.tradingview.com/watchlists/177376552/ Get Our Weekly Stock Picks with Deep-Dive Research and Real Trades https://www.clickcapital.io/stock-picks Best Deal: Stock Picks + All Our Trading Tools – One Price https://www.clickcapital.io/deal ️ Online Trading Tools that I personally use and recommend: The Best Options Data, Analytics & Screener: https://www.clickcapital.io/options ️ Top-tier Charting & Technical Analysis: https://www.clickcapital.io/charts Automate your TradingView Alerts to 30+ Brokers: https://www.clickcapital.io/automation My go-to Portfolio Tracking & Management Tool: https://www.clickcapital.io/portfolio Hi, I’m Jared Mann. I’ve been trading and investing for over 20 years. I previously worked at a major investment bank in the treasury department and left in 2008 to trade full-time and build my own businesses. Now, I run Click Capital, where I bring you this Daily Market Review to help keep over 20,000 investors and traders informed on everything happening across stocks, bonds, commodities, currencies, and options. I’m a long-term optimist and love spotting big opportunities — whether through quality growth stocks, technical breakouts, or option strategies. I don’t buy into the fear. I follow data, trends, and smart money. If I speak too quickly, adjust the playback speed to 0.8–0.95 in the YouTube video settings (some viewers prefer speeding up instead!). Stay connected: Subscribe for more real market insights, bold predictions, and no-BS commentary every week. #marketanalysis #stockmarket #volatility #options #technicalanalysis #stocks #SP500 #investing #economicupdate #marketnews #bullmarket #fed #inflation #rates #chartanalysis #gold #crypto #tesla #QQQ #NVDA #SPY #VIX $SPY $QQQ $VIX $TLT $GLD $USO $AAPL $TSLA $NVDA $AMZN $MSFT $GOOGL $META $BABA $FXI $BTC Disclaimer: All content in this video and on the Click Capital channel is for educational purposes only and represents my personal opinions only. It is not financial advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor. Investing and trading involves significant risk, and you should always do your own research before making decisions. We make use of affiliate links when recommending other products and may receive a commission for your referral. Please use all of our content, tools, and services at your own risk.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal