Prediction Case File
SUIUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

KG TRADING - Crypto Elliott Waves2025-11-14T16:02:25dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-41.61%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
1.7983
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
5.8
Predicted objective
Invalidation
1.05
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
1.69
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
222.53%
Initial Invalidation Distance
41.61%
Risk / Reward
5.35
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-41.61%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-14T16:02:25
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-01-31T18:00:00
Resolved At
2026-01-31T18:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-01-31T18:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
1,873.95h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

KG TRADING - Crypto Elliott Waves
YouTube · @KGTradingCrypto
Reliability
49.73
Success Rate
37.42%
Consistency
80.97
Risk Adjusted
-16.75
Avg Return
-3.11%
Avg Quality
3.54
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
YMnXk8Cjkzw
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on SUI, RENDER and FET. For SUI, the analyst anticipates a potential bottom formation with a target around 5.8. A level of 1.05 would invalidate the triangle formation and bullish wave C. The presenter dives in to a 2 hour chart. The Elliot Wave count targets the 0.618 fib level. For Render, the analysis targets 0.7 as a potential end to a WXY complex correction pattern and wave Y could be forming a triangle pattern. Time is needed to reach that area. A failure would be above 3.1. For FET, analyst indicates target of 0.07 in the 1D timeframe, potential ending diagnonal which the Elliot Wave analyst presents could end near 0.1. Wave 4 is around the 0.28 area. A triangle pattern forming wave Y is being presented as an analysis. The analyst casts some doubt on that target being met.

Original Caption

Join our Safe and Private Discord Community → Daily analysis requests, Elliott Wave education & Q&As. Don’t forget to LIKE , SUBSCRIBE , and COMMENT your wave counts below – I reply to as many as I can! In this video, we apply Elliott Wave analysis to Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the crypto market. Learn how to identify trading opportunities, manage risk, and apply the Wave Principle in real time. Perfect for traders who want structured and professional market insights. MEMBERSHIPS Patreon Membership → https://www.patreon.com/c/KGTrading YouTube Membership → https://www.youtube.com/@KGTradingCrypto 🟢 GET KGT INDICATOR Free Version 1.0 → Monthly Discord Membership Free Version 2.0 → Lifetime Patreon Membership Email me directly → kg.trading.ew@gmail.com Follow on X → https://x.com/KGTradingCrypto Instagram → https://www.instagram.com/kg_trading_elliott_wave/ 🟠 Stock Market Channel → https://www.youtube.com/@KGtradingStocks 🟣 Disclaimer This video is for educational purposes only. We do not provide financial advice. All predictions are speculative. Do your own research and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. #ElliottWave #CryptoTrading #BitcoinAnalysis

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal