Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wolves of Crypto2025-11-14T14:50:55weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-3%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
96,339.73
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
108,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
93,450
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
97,363
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Range
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
12.1%
Initial Invalidation Distance
3%
Risk / Reward
4.04
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-3%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-14T14:50:55
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-11-16T00:00:00
Resolved At
2025-11-16T00:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-11-16T00:00:00
Max High
97,411.11
Max High At
-
Min Low
94,012.45
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
33.15h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wolves of Crypto
YouTube · @WolvesOfCrypto_
Reliability
49.12
Success Rate
36.57%
Consistency
86.92
Risk Adjusted
-17.48
Avg Return
-2.45%
Avg Quality
3.52
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
CW9JIv5gq6c
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on Bitcoin's weekly chart, noting it's at a critical support zone with a descending wedge formation on both price and RSI. The RSI descending wedge spans 1.5 years, testing a major indicator, the bull market support band, and threatening to drop below the 50-week simple moving average. From a high of 126,000, Bitcoin corrected to 96,000, a 24% drop. The 2-week chart RSI shows a triangle, a breakdown in momentum, indicating a threat. The two-week candle is closing. A support zone is noted around 96,000 to 97,000 dollars. Potential exists for short-term bullish divergence, possibly reaching the top of the wedge at 108,000 but the speaker remains cautious and sees the trend ranging on BTC, also if BTC breaks the support zone it can go lower reaching 89000 and even 74000. In the long term as long as BTC stay in the middle line of the Guassian channel everything is under controll, and that level is around 91000.

Original Caption

Topic Overview 0:00-1:00 Bitunix Exchange 1:00-1:59 Bitcoin 1:59-7:12 Altcoin Market 7:12-12:18 Bitunix Exchange 12:18-12:59 Bitunix Exchange Referral Link (Referral Code: 543w) - NON KYC - Lifelong 15% Fee Discount - Up To $8000 In Rewards: https://www.bitunix.com/register?vipCode=543w Telegram Community Group Chat: https://t.me/+TD-btyDvq0xjOWU1 The Crypto Academy Website: https://www.thecryptoacademy.courses/ Business Inquiries Contact: wolvesofcryptocontact@gmail.com LEGAL DISCLAIMER: It is worth noting that this video, as with all Wolves Of Crypto content, is a representation of my personal opinions on the market and should in no way be considered financial advice in any form, as I am not a qualified financial advisor. I am not responsible for your investment decisions or outcomes, analyze the charts for yourself before proceeding with a trade. This applies to every investment decision in cryptocurrency, stock market and any financial market - including investment decisions directly related to Bitcoin BTC, Ethereum ETH & any other altcoin. This also applies regardless of the wording that I use in my content such as phrases like "you should do x" and "I suggest you do y". Additionally, viewers are responsible for anything that happens on cryptocurrency exchanges promoted on this channel.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal