Prediction Case File
HBARUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

AllinCrypto2025-11-13T23:30:00monthlyfundamental
Live Outcome
-9.49%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
0.16572
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
0.25
Predicted objective
Invalidation
0.15
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
0.17
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
50.86%
Initial Invalidation Distance
9.49%
Risk / Reward
5.36
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-9.49%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-13T23:30:00
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-11-16T15:00:00
Resolved At
2025-11-16T15:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-11-16T15:00:00
Max High
0.16572
Max High At
-
Min Low
0.15071
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
63.5h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

AllinCrypto
YouTube · @realallincrypto
Reliability
41.02
Success Rate
25.29%
Consistency
84.53
Risk Adjusted
-25.04
Avg Return
-8.43%
Avg Quality
3.31
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
-vrAgAKjACI
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video provides a fundamental analysis of Hedera Hashgraph (HBAR), primarily focusing on positive developments surrounding Canary Capital's HBAR ETF, which now holds over 390 million HBAR, exceeding 0.78% of the total supply, signaling strong institutional interest. Additionally, the video discusses Hedera Foundation joining the Nairobi Securities Exchange to expedite tokenization in Kenya, viewed as strategic for expanding DLT's global adoption across Africa. The video expresses particular excitement around the African Fintech market and potential for partnerships in this space. Mentions its intention to position himself in this technology as a result before wider adoption. The price will move towards the 0.25 target.

Original Caption

Welcome back ladies and gentlemen for another epic hedera hashgraph HBAR video! In this one we will be talking about the accenture news as they look to leverage hedera hashgraph for Ai!! Join our community and master the crypto markets with me and our family Patreon Link https://www.patreon.com/AllinCrypto Our website: https://allincrypto.com/ My Twitter - https://twitter.com/RealAllinCrypto DISCLAIMER: I am not a financial adviser and this video is not financial advise this video is here for entertainment and educational use only #hedera #hederahashgraph #hbar #bitcoin #btc #crypto #altcoins #ai #bullrun

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal