Prediction Case File
ETHUSDTcryptobearishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

JayWave2025-11-13T19:33:04intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
9.62%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
3,208.65
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
2,900
Predicted objective
Invalidation
3,650
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
3,445
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
9.62%
Initial Invalidation Distance
13.76%
Risk / Reward
0.7
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
9.62%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-13T19:33:04
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-11-19T17:00:00
Resolved At
2025-11-19T17:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-11-19T17:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
141.43h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

JayWave
YouTube · @JayWaveOfficial
Reliability
52.08
Success Rate
40.99%
Consistency
91.2
Risk Adjusted
-7.34
Avg Return
-1.6%
Avg Quality
3.39
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
_QCmhliAnq8
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analyst discusses Ethereum (ETHUSDT) on a 4-hour chart. He notes the price action within a trend channel, suggesting a likely downward breakout, though potentially minimal. He highlights that after that the price reached the golden pocket. He indicates that an M pattern was previously identified and the target was set. Based on the M pattern target, the analyst identifies a support area and a potential fall to at least this area. The analysis also points out that the short-term MACD shows a cooling phase, similar to Bitcoin, although slightly lower from the midfield. He indicates a target near $2900. A fail bound of $3650 has been provided.

Original Caption

Ethereum Analyse: Diese Zone ist entscheidend! In diesem Video werfe ich einen genauen Blick auf den 4-Stunden-Chart von Ethereum. Ich erkläre, warum wir aktuell an einer entscheidenden Zone stehen, was das M-Pattern bedeutet und wie weit der Kurs noch fallen könnte – oder ob wir bald wieder bullish werden. #Ethereum #Trading #Bitcoin #Chartanalyse

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal