Prediction Case File
ETHUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

The Moon Show2025-11-10T11:48:10dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-3.32%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
3,620.02
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
3,800
Predicted objective
Invalidation
3,500
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
3,606
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
4.97%
Initial Invalidation Distance
3.32%
Risk / Reward
1.5
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-3.32%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality84.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-10T11:48:10
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-11-11T14:00:00
Resolved At
2025-11-11T14:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-11-11T14:00:00
Max High
3,622.14
Max High At
-
Min Low
3,507.3
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
26.18h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

The Moon Show
YouTube · @TheMoon
Reliability
40.23
Success Rate
24.01%
Consistency
81.84
Risk Adjusted
-16.72
Avg Return
-5.14%
Avg Quality
3.43
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
VJEf1xar90Q
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video analyzes BTCUSD and ETHUSD. BTCUSD CME futures chart shows a gap filling around 106,455, suggesting a potential drop to 103,000 to fill the gap, weekend pumps are highlighted as warning signs. A break above 107,000 with a daily close above would negate this bearish expectation. ETHUSD exhibits an ascending triangle, and a long position was opened targeting 3,800. Technical analysis indicated that 3,800 acts as previous resistance, support. CryptoKid is mentioned because uploaded a video with Benjamin Cowen saying that the bear market has started.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal