Prediction Case File
USOILstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Mohammad Arafat2025-11-08T10:58:13weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-6.28%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
59.75
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
65
Predicted objective
Invalidation
56
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
59.83
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Weak
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
8.79%
Initial Invalidation Distance
6.28%
Risk / Reward
1.4
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-6.28%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality84.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-11-08T10:58:13
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-12-16T08:00:00
Resolved At
2025-12-16T08:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-12-16T08:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
909.02h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Mohammad Arafat
YouTube · @mohammadarafatofficial
Reliability
64.26
Success Rate
58.21%
Consistency
96.37
Risk Adjusted
-0.76
Avg Return
0.27%
Avg Quality
3.52
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
q2IDap8H4Bs
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video provides a weekly analysis of XAUUSD, XAGUSD and USOIL. The analyst suggests that the market sentiment for XAUUSD weekly analysis is positive, suggesting it could be in base to go up and the support level is $3880 and resistance at $4120. XAGUSD shows positive trend with $45 support and $51 resistance. Finally USOIL chart trends shows weakness and has $65 resistance and $56 support .It provides specific levels for support and resistance.

Original Caption

WEEKLY GOLD ANALYSIS FROM 10 Nov to 14th Nov | CRUDE OIL Forecast Next Week | SILVER Prediction No major data was released by US last week. Gold prices are still trying to stabilize in absense of major economic data. We might see shut down to lift soon as Republicans have started talking about it. This video is about technical levels for next week and what we might see in market for silver and crude oil. Signals performance https://www.mohdarafat.com/performance-2/ Contact helpline on whatsapp by clicking link below https://wa.me/message/PGRKCLSKWNMBP1 OR Whatsapp +91-7088230622 (Text Only) for Market commentary and paid signal details Official Whatsapp channel for data and news update https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VadcM3n7NoZuUqpsXU05 Telegram Official channel for live market updates https://t.me/mohammadarafatofficial X https://x.com/itsarafat Instagram https://www.instagram.com/itsarafatlive #xauusdanalysis #forexsignalsprovider #forexgoldanalysis #forexgoldupdate #goldforecast #goldprediction #cryptotrading #goldsignals #xauusdisgnals these videos are for educational purpose only . No trading action should be taken basis on my videos

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal