Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Coinsider2025-07-29T04:52:12long_termfundamental
Live Outcome
-0.23%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
118,427.77
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
200,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
118,151.81
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
118,151.82
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
68.88%
Initial Invalidation Distance
0.23%
Risk / Reward
295.59
Timeframe
Long Term
Live Position
-0.23%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

40%
Principal
40%
Actionable
40%
Overall
Principal40.00%
Comprehensible60.00%
Accurate40.00%
Actionable40.00%
Derived Quality44.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-07-29T04:52:12
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-07-29T14:00:00
Resolved At
2025-07-29T14:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-07-29T14:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
9.12h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Coinsider
YouTube · @Coinsider
Reliability
40.56
Success Rate
27.42%
Consistency
83.36
Risk Adjusted
-11.81
Avg Return
-2%
Avg Quality
3.24
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
nG8GoN1sYq0
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video outlines the analyst view on the market and discusses the potential integration of base app that used Zora technology. The first market mentioned is BTC that the analyst expect that can reaches the 200000 in a few years. The analysis references to ETH that analyst expect the price can hits the 6000. The predicted trend for BTC and ETH is bullish.

Original Caption

Let's dive into the Zora ecosystem and look at all the creator coins, useful tools, and why $ZORA is popping lately after the Base App launched. Join Retail DAO here: https://retaildao.xyz/ Timestamps: 0:00 Intro 2:04 Market Pulse 8:39 Trade War News 13:13 Zora Alpha! 31:01 KOL Call Tracking 38:57 Change my Mind (PUMP) 42:24 Retail DAO Roadmap Updates #Zora #Base #Creators #Coins #Tokens #Crypto

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal