Prediction Case File
AVGOstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

The Patient Investor2025-10-26T17:13:16monthlyfundamental
Live Outcome
-29.4%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
354.10998535
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
500
Predicted objective
Invalidation
250
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
354.13
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
41.2%
Initial Invalidation Distance
29.4%
Risk / Reward
1.4
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-29.4%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-10-26T17:13:16
First Checked
2026-05-19T02:08:08
Last Checked
2026-05-19T02:08:08
Resolved
2026-05-19T02:08:08
Resolved At
2026-05-19T02:08:08
Resolved Candle
2025-06-09T13:30:00
Max High
362.67001343
Max High At
-
Min Low
241.11000061
Min Low At
2025-06-09T13:30:00
Time To Result
4,904.9h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

The Patient Investor
YouTube · @thepatientinvestorr
Reliability
46.72
Success Rate
33.18%
Consistency
82.78
Risk Adjusted
-8.03
Avg Return
-1.16%
Avg Quality
3.5
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
TvZDHlq97l8
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video provides a fundamental analysis of the stock market, it suggests that the PE ratio is not as important as many investors believe and it is used inaccurately. Growth investments have a more reliable outlook. Mentioning companies like Amazon, avgo with distribution metrics that do show good results. Position sizing is more important when valuing, it makes it easy to analyze which steps need to be made to continue analyzing.

Original Caption

Friends! In this video, im going to share 5 things I wish I knew when I started investing MY PORTFOLIO & DISCORD: https://www.patreon.com/patientinvestor MY TWITTER: https://twitter.com/patientinvestt FREE ACCESS To Fiscal.AI https://fiscal.ai/?via=Patient

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal