Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

KG TRADING - Crypto Elliott Waves2025-10-26T14:17:19intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-3.33%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
113,689.95
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
117,550
Predicted objective
Invalidation
109,904
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
112,327
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
3.4%
Initial Invalidation Distance
3.33%
Risk / Reward
1.02
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-3.33%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-10-26T14:17:19
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-10-29T18:00:00
Resolved At
2025-10-29T18:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-10-29T18:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
75.7h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

KG TRADING - Crypto Elliott Waves
YouTube · @KGTradingCrypto
Reliability
49.73
Success Rate
37.42%
Consistency
80.97
Risk Adjusted
-16.75
Avg Return
-3.11%
Avg Quality
3.54
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
Mz2zdfZ8Vb8
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video provides a Bitcoin price prediction using Elliott Wave analysis. It expects an upward move, targeting $117,550, influenced by the micro-level confirmation. The analysis suggests that the price might move upwards to $120,974.17, staying between the 0.786 and 0.618 Fibonacci levels from wave one. A potential ABC pattern, indicating wave two, could lead to the $117K test area. The presenter mentions considering a regular flat at the 1:1 level, which means $117K. Analysis indicates a possible expanding diagonal as a wave one, leading to a wave two, however the potential for a good expanding diagonal has low probability. The MACD on the daily chart shows a bullish cross from the low, but bearish momentum is decreasing. The daily MACD line and signal line are crossing upwards, further confirming a bullish scenario. The common target, $117.5K, aligns with this Elliott Wave and MACD indicator prediction, and there is an analysis of smaller timeframes such as the 15 mins time frame to predict movements.

Original Caption

Join our Safe and Private Discord Community → Daily analysis requests, Elliott Wave education & Q&As. Don’t forget to LIKE , SUBSCRIBE , and COMMENT your wave counts below – I reply to as many as I can! In this video, we apply Elliott Wave analysis to Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the crypto market. Learn how to identify trading opportunities, manage risk, and apply the Wave Principle in real time. Perfect for traders who want structured and professional market insights. MEMBERSHIPS Patreon Membership → https://www.patreon.com/c/KGTrading YouTube Membership → https://www.youtube.com/@KGTradingCrypto 🟢 GET KGT INDICATOR Free Version 1.0 → Monthly Discord Membership Free Version 2.0 → Lifetime Patreon Membership Email me directly → kg.trading.ew@gmail.com 🟡 COPY TRADING → Exclusive for Discord Members Follow on X → https://x.com/KGTradingCrypto 🟠 Stock Market Channel → https://www.youtube.com/@KGtradingStocks 🟣 Disclaimer This video is for educational purposes only. We do not provide financial advice. All predictions are speculative. Do your own research and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. #ElliottWave #CryptoTrading #BitcoinAnalysis

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal