Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Jacob Crypto Bury2025-10-12T16:19:44weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-5.84%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
113,642.01
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
124,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
107,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
112,000
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
9.11%
Initial Invalidation Distance
5.84%
Risk / Reward
1.56
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-5.84%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-10-12T16:19:44
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-10-17T06:00:00
Resolved At
2025-10-17T06:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-10-17T06:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
109.67h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Jacob Crypto Bury
YouTube · @JacobCryptoBury
Reliability
44.26
Success Rate
30%
Consistency
80.26
Risk Adjusted
-26.19
Avg Return
-6.74%
Avg Quality
3.26
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
LuAdGJUC100
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on the recent flash crash in the crypto market and its aftermath. A CoffeZilla video is recommended, regarding the crash. Bitcoin is currently trading at around $112,000, with a key resistance level at $124,000. The analysis suggests we are on the third consecutive weekly candle, indicating continued positive movement. A target of at least 124,000 for BTCUSD is set, with a failure bound around $107000. Dominance is up to 60% after testing around 58% at its lowest. total market cap is at 3.74T after bouncing from 3.2T in November.The total 2 which is the altcoins looks bullish since it is a ascending triangle pattern, and is retesting resistance at 1.47T. The TOTAL3 the smaller altcoins, are retesting its 1.11 trillion resistance and overall, looking bullish.

Original Caption

- Unlock OVER 500+ Trading Signals *PER MONTH* With The Crypto Legend package: https://www.patreon.com/jacobcryptobury - Check out my latest crypto calls in the Jacobs Crypto Clan - https://discord.gg/jcb - Sign up to KCEX, Ultra Low Fee Exchange! - https://www.kcex.com/register?inviteCode=QYXO92 - No KYC MEXC Link (Up To $15,000 Bonuses!) - https://www.mexc.com/register?inviteCode=mexc-JCB24 THIS IS NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. ALWAYS DO YOUR OWN RESEARCH. CRYPTO IS VOLATILE AND YOU COULD LOSE EVERYTHING. ️

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal