Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobearishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Harry Multani2025-10-11T07:44:14dailytechnical
Live Outcome
5.24%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
110,632.89
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
104,832.07
Predicted objective
Invalidation
126,304.6
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
112,156.87
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
5.24%
Initial Invalidation Distance
14.17%
Risk / Reward
0.37
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
5.24%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-10-11T07:44:14
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-10-17T08:00:00
Resolved At
2025-10-17T08:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-10-17T08:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
144.25h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Harry Multani
YouTube · @harmynder
Reliability
55.03
Success Rate
44.96%
Consistency
92.21
Risk Adjusted
-1.81
Avg Return
0.8%
Avg Quality
3.55
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
IIGJ3QYa8Ik
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The video analyzes the BTCUSD chart using count sell signals, indicating a bearish trend. It notes that a seven and eight count sell signal was present, and a 17% sell-off occurred. The analysis looks at past count signals and price movements, noting instances where sell signals were followed by downward price action. No buy signals are identified. The analysis indicates that the current price is 112156.87, after a 17% drop from around 126304.60, targeting a low of 104832.07 with failure bound at 126304.60 if price reaches.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal
BTCUSDT Bearish Signal by Harry Multani | Tahlil Plus AI