Prediction Case File
NVDAstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Rick Orford - Trading Stocks and Options2025-10-09T21:01:04long_termfundamental
Live Outcome
-21.99%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
192.29499817
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
500
Predicted objective
Invalidation
150
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
177
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
160.02%
Initial Invalidation Distance
21.99%
Risk / Reward
7.28
Timeframe
Long Term
Live Position
-21.99%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
40%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable40.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-10-09T21:01:04
First Checked
2026-05-19T02:08:08
Last Checked
2026-05-19T02:08:08
Resolved
2026-05-19T02:08:08
Resolved At
2026-05-19T02:08:08
Resolved Candle
2025-05-28T13:30:00
Max High
136.30000305
Max High At
2025-05-28T13:30:00
Min Low
135
Min Low At
2025-05-28T13:30:00
Time To Result
5,309.12h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Rick Orford - Trading Stocks and Options
YouTube · @RickOrford
Reliability
46.28
Success Rate
32.44%
Consistency
71.28
Risk Adjusted
-10.51
Avg Return
0.68%
Avg Quality
3.57
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
gvxngC0lhyw
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on NVIDIA. The current stock price is about $177. Revenue has increased 56% to $46.7 billion. Gross profit rose approximately 50% to $33.8 billion. Operating income is up by 52%. Net income climbed 59% to $26.4 billion. Nvidia holds $11.6 billion in cash, up 36% year-over-year. A target price of $500 is given with the expectation of long term growth. The segment's revenue rose 56%, accounting for almost 90% of the company’s revenue. Ten years ago the stock was trading at 280 times less than it is at the time of this analysis.

Original Caption

NVIDIA's stock cools slightly, but revenue, gross profit, and net income are exploding. The company's data center segment, fueled by AI, accounts for nearly 90% of total revenue, showcasing incredible growth and scalability. #NVIDIA #stockmarket #AI #investing #techstocks

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal