Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wicked Stocks2025-10-05T19:36:20weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-2.45%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
429.83999634
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
403.6
Predicted objective
Invalidation
440.35
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
429.83
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
6.1%
Initial Invalidation Distance
2.45%
Risk / Reward
2.5
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-2.45%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality84.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-10-05T19:36:20
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-10-06T13:30:00
Resolved At
2025-10-06T13:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-10-06T13:30:00
Max High
429.83999634
Max High At
-
Min Low
429.83999634
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
17.88h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wicked Stocks
YouTube · @wickedstocks8906
Reliability
46.83
Success Rate
32.86%
Consistency
89.79
Risk Adjusted
-4.4
Avg Return
-0.86%
Avg Quality
3.84
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
nZ1HHRdeLSI
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis forecasts Tesla's potential bearish continuation into the 360s within 3 to 5 weeks. Resistance is noted at 461.76. 440.35 is a key level to sell below to validate the bearish thesis, selling strength at 460. A test of 469.54 may not hold and a fall back into the 360s is expected. Support lies between 402.36 and 403.60, with the possibility of containing selling pressure. The analyst notes that 402.36 is the last level of support before 362.39, should the market close below this level and the 360's is a reasonable range to target. The S&P 500 is also testing a five-and-a-half-year channel top, which, if broken would invalidate this bearish outlook for both symbols. Otherwise it's reasonable to assume the 360 target for TSLA remains in play.

Original Caption

Daily Tesla (TSLA) analysis with key levels, trends, and insights—can the bulls maintain momentum? 🟢 Want a clear trade plan for SPY & QQQ every day? Start your free 5-day trial here: https://wickedstocks.com/ In this video, we bring you technical stock analysis for Tesla. We hope to bring you directional clarity for Tesla stock based on the important price support and resistance levels for October 6th, 2025. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 🟢Want trade plans on top stocks? Get 2 every week: https://wickedstocks.com/stocks-picks/ Key Resources: Downloadable PDF for Support & Resistance Levels: https://wickedstocks.com/2025/10/05/tesla-tsla-daily-analysis-10-06-25/ Free Guide: How to Use Our Trading Levels https://wickedstocks.com/resources/ Join 1,000+ traders getting our free weekly newsletter—exclusive stock picks and actionable trade tips inside - https://wickedstocks.com/trading-success/ Disclaimer: Not financial advice, just our professional opinions. Channels: Website: https://wickedstocks.com/ X: https://x.com/wickedstocks Questions? Drop a comment below! #tesla #tsla #nasdaq #stockanalysis #stocks #stockmarket #stockstobuy #teslastock #elonmusk #sp500 #spy #nasdaq #teslanews #teslastockupdate #tslastock #teslamodels #teslaprice #topstocks #stocktrading #daytrading #daytrade #stockstotrade #trend

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal