Prediction Case File
PLTRstockbearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Harry Multani2025-10-05T18:37:35weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-1.65%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
173.05999756
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
140
Predicted objective
Invalidation
175.92
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
173.07
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
19.1%
Initial Invalidation Distance
1.65%
Risk / Reward
11.56
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-1.65%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality76.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-10-05T18:37:35
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-10-06T13:30:00
Resolved At
2025-10-06T13:30:00
Resolved Candle
2025-10-06T13:30:00
Max High
182.9499054
Max High At
-
Min Low
173.05999756
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
18.87h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Harry Multani
YouTube · @harmynder
Reliability
55.03
Success Rate
44.96%
Consistency
92.21
Risk Adjusted
-1.81
Avg Return
0.8%
Avg Quality
3.55
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
jZ0mcSAFF8U
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis covers the Palantir stock (PLTR). On the 3rd of October the stock went down approximately 7.5%. Based on a 7-8 count sell signal in August, the stock dropped almost 25% from top to bottom, followed by a 7-8 buy signal, which caused a 26% pump. There's now a sell signal on September 19th. If the downward trend continues at an average of 25%, PLTR could reach around the $140 level. There is a gap fill around 154.27, with some support in this area. If the support doesn't hold, a 25% drop would lead to the $140 target price.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal