Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

MMCrypto2025-10-02T14:27:57weeklytechnical
Live Outcome
-15.62%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
119,699.99
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
141,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
101,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
118,828
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
17.79%
Initial Invalidation Distance
15.62%
Risk / Reward
1.14
Timeframe
Weekly
Live Position
-15.62%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-10-02T14:27:57
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-11-04T00:00:00
Resolved At
2025-11-04T00:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-11-04T00:00:00
Max High
126,199.63
Max High At
-
Min Low
102,000
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
777.53h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

MMCrypto
YouTube · @MMCryptoTube
Reliability
43.27
Success Rate
28.44%
Consistency
85.78
Risk Adjusted
-14.54
Avg Return
-4.35%
Avg Quality
3.36
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
XD65jwS5IqE
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on Bitcoin's weekly chart. Bitcoin is consolidating below horizontal resistance. A bullish breakout requires a daily candle close above $119,400. If this occurs with volume support, the potential price target is $141,000. The analyst is leaning towards a bullish prediction and he is keeping the positions open, the W pattern at $117,300 was broken and confirmed.

Original Caption

Bitcoin what now

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal