Prediction Case File
CSPRUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

CryptoCharged2025-10-01T01:42:05monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
-14.88%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
0.009399
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
0.09358
Predicted objective
Invalidation
0.008
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
0.009358
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
895.64%
Initial Invalidation Distance
14.88%
Risk / Reward
60.17
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-14.88%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-10-01T01:42:05
First Checked
2026-05-19T01:30:15
Last Checked
2026-05-19T01:30:15
Resolved
2026-05-19T01:30:15
Resolved At
2026-05-19T01:30:15
Resolved Candle
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Max High
0.00990092
Max High At
2025-10-02T20:00:00
Min Low
0.00712221
Min Low At
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Time To Result
5,519.8h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

CryptoCharged
YouTube · @CryptoCharged
Reliability
33.45
Success Rate
15.63%
Consistency
59.52
Risk Adjusted
-48.42
Avg Return
-12.95%
Avg Quality
3.27
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
Ju3VaBU-ldk
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on Casper (CSPR) and its current market capitalization of $125 million. The analyst discusses that a small market cap presents an opportunity. According to the analyst a move to 1.2 to 1.3 billion dollars makes it a 10x from current market. The video also mentions that small capitalizations lead to more volatility. The analysis further discusses staking rewards and how staking helps offset the volatility.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal