Prediction Case File
ONDOUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

KG TRADING - Crypto Elliott Waves2025-09-30T19:15:04dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-47.53%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
0.8699
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
2.70541
Predicted objective
Invalidation
0.45646
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
0.8796
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
211%
Initial Invalidation Distance
47.53%
Risk / Reward
4.44
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-47.53%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-30T19:15:04
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Resolved At
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-10-10T21:00:00
Max High
0.9835
Max High At
-
Min Low
0.2552
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
241.73h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

KG TRADING - Crypto Elliott Waves
YouTube · @KGTradingCrypto
Reliability
49.73
Success Rate
37.42%
Consistency
80.97
Risk Adjusted
-16.75
Avg Return
-3.11%
Avg Quality
3.54
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
fPX0hzJyMbw
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The presenter analyzes HBARUSDT on the daily chart, suggesting a sideways wave four might be unfolding with a potential zigzag before an upward move. The bullish scenario remains valid above 0.09840, targeting 0.64437. A lower timeframe analysis on the 2-hour chart indicates a potential WXY finish, suggesting a possible 1-2-3 move upward. ONDOUSDT analysis indicates a consolidation triangle, with an impulse potentially ending as a diagonal with zigzag waves, with an invalidation level to the downside and targets to the upside. Finally, NEARUSDT analysis considers a triangle formation on the daily chart, potentially ending in a wave E. A two-hour chart review suggests invalidation due to a breached low. An overall look shows that NEAR has hit the target but can reach lower to the level around 1.3031.

Original Caption

In this video, we apply Elliott Wave analysis to Bitcoin, Ethereum, and the crypto market. Learn how to identify trading opportunities, manage risk, and apply the Wave Principle in real time. Perfect for traders who want structured and professional market insights. Don’t forget to LIKE , SUBSCRIBE , and COMMENT your wave counts below – I reply to as many as I can! Join our Safe and Private Discord Community → Daily analysis requests, Elliott Wave education & Q&As. MEMBERSHIPS Patreon Membership → https://www.patreon.com/c/KGTrading YouTube Membership → https://www.youtube.com/@KGTradingCrypto 🟢 GET KGT INDICATOR Free Version 1.0 → Monthly Discord Membership Free Version 2.0 → Lifetime Patreon Membership Email me directly → kg.trading.ew@gmail.com 🟡 COPY TRADING → Exclusive for Discord Members Follow on X → https://x.com/KGTradingCrypto 🟠 Stock Market Channel → https://www.youtube.com/@KGtradingStocks 🟣 Disclaimer This video is for educational purposes only. We do not provide financial advice. All predictions are speculative. Do your own research and consult a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. #ElliottWave #CryptoTrading #bitcoinanalysis 00:00 HBAR 3:40 ONDO 8:00 NEAR

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal