Prediction Case File
TSLAstockbullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Wicked Stocks2025-09-28T19:05:22monthlytechnical
Live Outcome
-17.84%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
440.41989136
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
524.11
Predicted objective
Invalidation
361.85
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
440.4
Original Analyst Trend
Bullish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
19%
Initial Invalidation Distance
17.84%
Risk / Reward
1.07
Timeframe
Monthly
Live Position
-17.84%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality84.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-28T19:05:22
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2026-04-02T04:00:00
Resolved At
2026-04-02T04:00:00
Resolved Candle
2026-04-02T04:00:00
Max High
440.41989136
Max High At
-
Min Low
440.41989136
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
4,448.9h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Wicked Stocks
YouTube · @wickedstocks8906
Reliability
46.94
Success Rate
33%
Consistency
89.81
Risk Adjusted
-4.3
Avg Return
-0.85%
Avg Quality
3.84
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
JCV0jTYnqUY
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis begins with a weekly chart of TSLA, noting it has settled above 361.85, establishing a 5-8 month objective at 524.11. This is set up by a two-and-a-half year channel top. The analyst suggests settling above 464.18 could sustain this bullish momentum. A narrowing range is present throughout the week. A drop back into the lower 360s is possible in 3-5 weeks. The presenter highlights the area between 361.85 and 524.11, the area that if broken the previous objective will be invalidated. The analysis recommends exiting short positions established in the 456.48 to 464.18 range, because if the stock manages to close above 464.18 this would invalidate the previous long target. The S&P 500 has a 5-year channel top that will have the potential to contain buying for the rest of the year.

Original Caption

Daily Tesla (TSLA) analysis with key levels, trends, and insights—can the bulls maintain momentum? 🟢 Want a clear trade plan for SPY & QQQ every day? Start your free 5-day trial here: https://wickedstocks.com/ In this video, we bring you technical stock analysis for Tesla. We hope to bring you directional clarity for Tesla stock based on the important price support and resistance levels for Monday, September 29th, 2025. --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 🟢Want trade plans on top stocks? Get 2 every week: https://wickedstocks.com/stocks-picks/ Key Resources: Downloadable PDF for Support & Resistance Levels: https://wickedstocks.com/2025/09/28/tesla-tsla-daily-analysis-09-29-25/ Free Guide: How to Use Our Trading Levels https://wickedstocks.com/resources/ Join 1,000+ traders getting our free weekly newsletter—exclusive stock picks and actionable trade tips inside - https://wickedstocks.com/trading-success/ Disclaimer: Not financial advice, just our professional opinions. Channels: Website: https://wickedstocks.com/ X: https://x.com/wickedstocks Questions? Drop a comment below! #tesla #tsla #nasdaq #stockanalysis #stocks #stockmarket #stockstobuy #teslastock #elonmusk #sp500 #spy #nasdaq #teslanews #teslastockupdate #tslastock #teslamodels #teslaprice #topstocks #stocktrading #daytrading #daytrade #stockstotrade #trend

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal