Prediction Case File
ASTERUSDTcryptobearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Cilinix Crypto2025-09-28T13:39:44intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-17.93%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
1.91634095
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
1.42
Predicted objective
Invalidation
2.26
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
1.79
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
25.9%
Initial Invalidation Distance
17.93%
Risk / Reward
1.44
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-17.93%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible100.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality84.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-28T13:39:44
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-10-06T12:00:00
Resolved At
2025-10-06T12:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-10-06T12:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
190.33h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Cilinix Crypto
YouTube · @CilinixCrypto
Reliability
54.72
Success Rate
44.42%
Consistency
90.96
Risk Adjusted
-4.84
Avg Return
-0.56%
Avg Quality
3.63
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
150KQQExLOI
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on ASTER/USDT. ASTER found support at $1.75, the presenter expected short liquidations up to $2.20, the level of fair value gap. Since then, ASTER has lost stability, falling below the 7-day rolling VWAP and losing support at $1.75. The analysis indicates the overall situation for ASTER is not amazing due to Plasma pulling liquidity. Fundamental metrics for ASTER are still solid and high fees, but it's indicated that the price is not reacting bullishly to the news. The current analysis expects ASTER to trend downwards, reaching a next support level between $1.40 and $1.50. A further potential drop to a major psychological support level at $1.10 or $1.00 is mentioned with fair value gaps. Short target is on the 1.40-1.50, but a more distant area of support would be the 1.10-1.00 area.

Original Caption

ASTER PRICE PREDICTION 2025 Join the Signal group for Great Trades & becoming Profitable! https://www.patreon.com/cilinixcrypto https://discord.gg/yQbebHvNea (In the Signals Entry channel) https://t.me/cilinixcryptogroup (In the Group Bio) https://www.cilinix.com/#/ ️Register on Blofin now for the Lowest Fees & Cash Bonuses https://partner.blofin.com/d/CilinixCrypto Signal Group Reviews https://www.trustpilot.com/review/cilinix.com ️ Social links! www.cilinix.com https://twitter.com/cilinixcrypto cilinixfxcapital@gmail.com @CilinixCrypto Disclaimer: This video is not financial advice and it is not intended to be. This video is for informational and educational purposes only and does not provide advice in any type of way.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal