Prediction Case File
AVAXUSDTcryptobearishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Cilinix Crypto2025-09-27T12:42:27dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-5.75%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
28.37
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
25.5
Predicted objective
Invalidation
30
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
29.54
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bearish
Normalized Market Direction
Bearish
Initial Target Distance
10.12%
Initial Invalidation Distance
5.75%
Risk / Reward
1.76
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-5.75%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
80%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality68.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-27T12:42:27
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-28T23:00:00
Resolved At
2025-09-28T23:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-28T23:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
34.28h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Cilinix Crypto
YouTube · @CilinixCrypto
Reliability
54.72
Success Rate
44.42%
Consistency
90.96
Risk Adjusted
-4.84
Avg Return
-0.56%
Avg Quality
3.63
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
uv2rw2um57Y
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis focuses on AVAX/USDT, discussing both fundamental and technical aspects. The analyst points out that key level between $30 and $31 was lost on Thursday, with aggressive selling volume. The higher timeframes, such as the weekly and three-day charts, haven't lost this level yet, but are close. A reclaim above $30 is needed. The analyst also highlights the digital asset treasuries and related news as a bullish fundamental factor but notes that these developments haven't yet had a positive effect and the TVL is decreasing. The analyst is bearish on the short-term. The prediction is a drop down to a level between $26 and $25 (previous range value area high). The analysis will be invalidated if the price reaches $30.

Original Caption

AVALANCHE AVAX PRICE PREDICTION 2025 Join the Signal group for Great Trades & becoming Profitable! https://www.patreon.com/cilinixcrypto https://discord.gg/yQbebHvNea (In the Signals Entry channel) https://t.me/cilinixcryptogroup (In the Group Bio) https://www.cilinix.com/#/ Signal Group Reviews https://www.trustpilot.com/review/cilinix.com ️Register on Bybit now and receive a free $ bonus! https://partner.bybit.com/b/28097 ️ Social links! www.cilinix.com https://twitter.com/cilinixcrypto cilinixfxcapital@gmail.com @CilinixCrypto Disclaimer: This video is not financial advice and it is not intended to be. This video is for informational and educational purposes only and does not provide advice in any type of way.

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal