Prediction Case File
ASTERUSDTcryptobullishVerified Correct

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

Jacob Crypto Bury2025-09-22T13:36:02intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
45.25%
Performance since published
Correct
Publish Price
1.39758003
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
2.03
Predicted objective
Invalidation
1.3
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
1.49
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
45.25%
Initial Invalidation Distance
6.98%
Risk / Reward
6.48
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
45.25%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-22T13:36:02
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-10-06T12:00:00
Resolved At
2025-10-06T12:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-10-06T12:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
334.38h
Result
Correct
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

Jacob Crypto Bury
YouTube · @JacobCryptoBury
Reliability
44.26
Success Rate
30%
Consistency
80.26
Risk Adjusted
-26.19
Avg Return
-6.74%
Avg Quality
3.26
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
7ZqaJVxTmOU
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis discusses ASTER/USDT and BTC/USDT. ASTER has support at $1.30. Fibonacci retracement shows a pullback to the 0.5 fib level. It formed an all time high at $2.03. Looking to trade ASTER in the $1.33 - $1.55 range. The analysis sees the possibility of trading ASTER within an ascending triangle pattern which is a bullish continuation pattern. It is mentioned that with a bullish breakout of the triangle, 35%-62% upside is possible towards $2.03, $2.20, $2.40. Bitcoin current price is at $112,992, the video considers to wait the market to settle, the market is down 3.83% and the analysis mention that it may till back into a fearful market environment.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal