Prediction Case File
PENGUUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

More Crypto Online2025-09-21T08:48:22intradaytechnical
Live Outcome
-16.53%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
0.034745
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
0.07
Predicted objective
Invalidation
0.029
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
0.03189
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
101.47%
Initial Invalidation Distance
16.53%
Risk / Reward
6.14
Timeframe
Intraday
Live Position
-16.53%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

60%
Principal
60%
Actionable
60%
Overall
Principal60.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate60.00%
Actionable60.00%
Derived Quality64.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-21T08:48:22
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-24T04:00:00
Resolved At
2025-09-24T04:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-24T04:00:00
Max High
0.034901
Max High At
-
Min Low
0.028352
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
67.18h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

More Crypto Online
YouTube · @morecryptoonline
Reliability
46.91
Success Rate
33.38%
Consistency
84.67
Risk Adjusted
-14.78
Avg Return
-4.51%
Avg Quality
3.54
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
2qd51nRoUaI
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analysis provides an update on the PENGU/USDT chart, suggesting the price action might be in a wave 2 correction, which is considered promising. The prior updates discussed an entire correction that potentially bottomed out in September, forming a wave 4. It mentions that many coins may have found a low in September. A potential wave 4 is identified on the Pengu chart, suggesting a larger correction might have bottomed. The analyst is watching for higher prices in a wave 5, aiming towards a target of 0.07 USDT. The wave one of five is likely completed based on the current price action. It indicates wave 2 is likely still unfolding and might experience another low. The analysis says that to keep potential alive the price should hold the upper part of the lower support area. However, the analyst specifies that the lower support becomes relevant if the upper one is broken.

Original Caption

Join the Morecryptoonline Crypto Service https://www.mcoglobal.com/subscriptions Voucher code: GOLDSUB PENGU Goes Parabolic – Elliott Wave Setup Playing Out on Pudgy Penguins - Technical Analysis ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- MCO Global: https://www.mcoglobal.com/ ️ Join the FREE Newsletter: https://mcoglobal.com/newsletter/ Join the Morecryptoonline Crypto Service https://www.mcoglobal.com/subscriptions OR https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCngIhBkikUe6e7tZTjpKK7Q/join OR https://www.patreon.com/morecryptoonline Join the S&P500 & Stocks Service https://www.patreon.com/moretradingonline Subscribe for Free to More Trading Online: https://www.youtube.com/@moretradingonline Subscribe for Free to More Forex Online: https://www.youtube.com/@MoreForexOnline ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Social Media: WhatsApp News & Updates: https://whatsapp.com/channel/0029VaZ0h5B3mFYBkWRWCY0K X / Twitter: https://x.com/Morecryptoonl Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/morecryptoonline_official/ Tradingview: https://www.tradingview.com/u/MCOGlobal/ Facebook: https://facebook.com/morecryptoonline Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/company/more-crypto-online/ Tiktok: https://www.tiktok.com/@more_crypto_online All MCO Global Links: https://linktr.ee/morecryptoonline ️ In case of questions just reach out to us: info@morecryptoonline.com ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Exchanges / Products (Affiliate Links): Trade on Bybit: https://partner.bybit.com/b/MCO Bitget: Trade with Bitget: https://partner.bitget.com/bg/MoreCryptoOnline TradingView: https://bit.ly/Crypto_Tradingview Trade on Coinbase: https://bit.ly/MCOinbase Trade on Kucoin: Receive a 20% fee discount: https://www.kucoin.com/r/af/QBSSSL4T Trade with eToro: https://etoro.tw/3oFUKCk Trade with Trading212: Receive shares worth up to $100: https://bit.ly/Trading212MCO Protect your cryptocurrencies with Trezor: https://bit.ly/morecryptoonline Protect your cryptocurrencies with Ledger: https://shop.ledger.com/?r=0fb3c8be2e46 Stay safe with NordVPN: https://go.nordvpn.net/SH4s0

Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal