Prediction Case File
BTCUSDTcryptobullishVerified Fail

Structured market prediction extracted from social analysis, normalized by AI, enriched with validation metrics, analyst reliability, live position tracking and source-level evidence.

JayWave2025-09-18T11:13:41dailytechnical
Live Outcome
-3.53%
Performance since published
Fail
Publish Price
117,137.6
Entry captured near publish time
Current Price
-
Latest tracked market price
Target Price
120,000
Predicted objective
Invalidation
113,000
Risk boundary
Prediction Structure

Entry, target and invalidation logic

The original analyst prediction is converted into a structured intelligence object with price mentions, normalized direction, target distance, invalidation distance and risk/reward context.

Price Mentioned by AI
116,897.98
Original Analyst Trend
Bearish
AI-Detected Price Direction
Bullish
Normalized Market Direction
Bullish
Initial Target Distance
2.44%
Initial Invalidation Distance
3.53%
Risk / Reward
0.69
Timeframe
Daily
Live Position
-3.53%
Live
Current Price
-
Live Score
-
Distance to Target Now
-
Distance to Invalidation Now
-
Price Structure Valid
No
Warning
-
Quality Breakdown

AI quality scoring

Each signal is scored for clarity, accuracy, actionability and overall usefulness before it contributes to intelligence metrics.

80%
Principal
80%
Actionable
80%
Overall
Principal80.00%
Comprehensible80.00%
Accurate80.00%
Actionable80.00%
Derived Quality80.00%
Validation & Result

What happened after publication?

The platform tracks price movement after publication and records outcome, runup, drawdown and resolution metadata.

Published
2025-09-18T11:13:41
First Checked
-
Last Checked
-
Resolved
2025-09-22T06:00:00
Resolved At
2025-09-22T06:00:00
Resolved Candle
2025-09-22T06:00:00
Max High
-
Max High At
-
Min Low
-
Min Low At
-
Time To Result
90.77h
Result
Fail
Validation Status
Resolved
Analyst Intelligence

Who generated this prediction?

JayWave
YouTube · @JayWaveOfficial
Reliability
52.08
Success Rate
40.99%
Consistency
91.2
Risk Adjusted
-7.34
Avg Return
-1.6%
Avg Quality
3.39
Original Social Post

Source, summary and reference

Platform
YouTube
Media Type
youtube_video
Language
-
Gemini Model
-
Processed At
-
External Post ID
KAfTUIZ11Fw
Open Original Post →
AI Summary

The analyst discusses the cryptocurrency market, focusing on Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) and Ethereum (ETHUSDT). He notes that despite the Federal Reserve's recent interest rate decision to raise rates by 25 basis points, long-term holders of BTC are selling while short-term holders are buying. He identifies key levels in the BTC chart and the ETH chart. The overall market sentiment seems positive, however for BTC a small support break is at 110500.00 and good support at 106000.00. The resistance levels can be founded at 120000.00 and 125000.00. Ethereum has good support between 4100.00 and 4150.00 and can rise up to 4800.00 - 4900.00 before reaching it.

Original Caption

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Signal Metadata

Scoring and consensus eligibility

These fields explain whether this prediction is already verified, whether it contributes to analyst scoring, and whether it is included in symbol target consensus.

Forward-Looking Signal
No
Verified Outcome
Yes
Included in Analyst Score
Yes
Included in Target Consensus
No
Public Listing Status
Listed
Status Explanation
-
Why Not Included in Score Yet
-
Target Consensus Exclusion
Not Forward Signal